Jerry Carl
25dHigh Impact
AL-01 Republican nominee?
72%
Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl, who is currently at 72%.
AL-01 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl, who is currently at 72%.
72%
Insights
Fresh odds moves, new highs and lows, trends, lead changes, polling, fundraising, endorsements, and news across active elections.
High Impact Insights
Hollie Noveletsky
1moHigh Impact
NH-01 Republican nominee?
21%
The poll has Hollie Noveletsky ahead by 14.0 points, while Anthony DiLorenzo leads the latest odds.
NH-01 Republican nominee?
The poll has Hollie Noveletsky ahead by 14.0 points, while Anthony DiLorenzo leads the latest odds.
21%
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- Trade
AL-01 Republican nominee?
Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl, who is currently at 72%.
Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl, who is currently at 72%.
72% - Trade
NH-01 Republican nominee?
The poll has Hollie Noveletsky ahead by 14.0 points, while Anthony DiLorenzo leads the latest odds.
The poll has Hollie Noveletsky ahead by 14.0 points, while Anthony DiLorenzo leads the latest odds.
21% - Trade
Providence Mayor winner?
Morales has risen from 34% yesterday to 49% now, and recent union-backed endorsements plus fresh coverage keep him the main reprice candidate in the race.
Morales has risen from 34% yesterday to 49% now, and recent union-backed endorsements plus fresh coverage keep him the main reprice candidate in the race.
17%49% - Trade
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Lindell’s nomination odds rose to 54% after Trump’s endorsement, keeping him ahead of Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls in a still-fluid Republican primary.
Lindell’s nomination odds rose to 54% after Trump’s endorsement, keeping him ahead of Lisa Demuth and Kendall Qualls in a still-fluid Republican primary.
42%54% - Trade
Wisconsin Governor winner?
That tops the previous high of 25% for Republican Party in the Wisconsin governor race.
That tops the previous high of 25% for Republican Party in the Wisconsin governor race.
21%46% - Trade
OH-09 House winner?
That’s above the previous high of 52% for the "OH-09 House winner?" race.
That’s above the previous high of 52% for the "OH-09 House winner?" race.
23%75% - Trade
FL-04 Democratic nominee?
LaShonda Holloway's odds reached 76%, breaking the prior high of 10%.
LaShonda Holloway's odds reached 76%, breaking the prior high of 10%.
66%76% - Trade
MI-07 House winner?
That’s below the previous low of 64% for the "MI-07 House winner?" race, setting a fresh floor for Democratic Party odds.
That’s below the previous low of 64% for the "MI-07 House winner?" race, setting a fresh floor for Democratic Party odds.
37%27% - Trade
Wisconsin Governor winner?
Democratic Party's odds are now 56%, past the previous low of 70%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 56%, past the previous low of 70%.
14%56% - Trade
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Donald Trump backed Donald Trump for the "2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?", and the current odds are 3%.
Donald Trump backed Donald Trump for the "2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?", and the current odds are 3%.
3% - Trade
2028 Republican VP nominee
Donald Trump backed Donald Trump for the 2028 Republican VP nominee, and the current odds are 4.6%.
Donald Trump backed Donald Trump for the 2028 Republican VP nominee, and the current odds are 4.6%.
5% - Trade
Wyoming Republican Governor nominee?
Harriet Hageman has raised $3,070,024.92 this cycle, while Megan Degenfelder leads the latest odds for the Wyoming Republican governor nomination.
Harriet Hageman has raised $3,070,024.92 this cycle, while Megan Degenfelder leads the latest odds for the Wyoming Republican governor nomination.
0% - Trade
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Donald Trump backed Mike Lindell for Minnesota Republican governor nominee, and Lindell is at 52%.
Donald Trump backed Mike Lindell for Minnesota Republican governor nominee, and Lindell is at 52%.
52% - Trade
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, while Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination.
Mandela Barnes has raised $42,336,589 this cycle, while Francesca Hong leads the latest odds for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination.
8% - Trade
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Mike Rogers has raised $10,898,177 this cycle, while John James holds the lead in the latest odds.
Mike Rogers has raised $10,898,177 this cycle, while John James holds the lead in the latest odds.
0% - Trade
Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?
Mallory McMorrow has raised $11,386,720 this cycle, but Jocelyn Benson leads the latest odds for the Michigan Democratic governor nomination.
Mallory McMorrow has raised $11,386,720 this cycle, but Jocelyn Benson leads the latest odds for the Michigan Democratic governor nomination.
1% - Trade
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Rhoden remains heavily favored in the South Dakota Republican governor nominee market, with his price holding around 94% even after fresh AP coverage of the competitive primary field; traders should watch whether the market’s extreme pricing persists into the runoff window.
Rhoden remains heavily favored in the South Dakota Republican governor nominee market, with his price holding around 94% even after fresh AP coverage of the competitive primary field; traders should watch whether the market’s extreme pricing persists into the runoff window.
100%94% - Trade
FL-23 House winner?
That’s below the previous low of 30% for Republican Party in "FL-23 House winner?", setting a fresh floor for the race.
That’s below the previous low of 30% for Republican Party in "FL-23 House winner?", setting a fresh floor for the race.
21%9% - Trade
FL-02 Democratic nominee?
Amanda Green's odds reached 32%, topping the previous high of 9% over the last 13 days.
Amanda Green's odds reached 32%, topping the previous high of 9% over the last 13 days.
23%32% - Trade
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Catalina Lauf's odds fell below the prior low of 42%, setting a fresh low for the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
Catalina Lauf's odds fell below the prior low of 42%, setting a fresh low for the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
24%19% - Trade
FL-04 Democratic nominee?
Michael Kirwan's odds fell below the prior low of 77%, setting a fresh floor for the FL-04 Democratic nominee race.
Michael Kirwan's odds fell below the prior low of 77%, setting a fresh floor for the FL-04 Democratic nominee race.
51%26% - Trade
FL-07 Republican nominee?
Ryan Elijah is now at 84% and has moved ahead of the prior leader in the FL-07 Republican nominee race.
Ryan Elijah is now at 84% and has moved ahead of the prior leader in the FL-07 Republican nominee race.
84% - Trade
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Fresh reporting and a new Emerson poll show Jon Ossoff closing on Gavin Newsom, matching the market’s recent repricing and making the top of the board worth monitoring.
Fresh reporting and a new Emerson poll show Jon Ossoff closing on Gavin Newsom, matching the market’s recent repricing and making the top of the board worth monitoring.
9%16% - Trade
FL-20 Democratic nominee?
Debbie Wasserman Schultz is now at 72% and leads by 47.0 points after trailing earlier.
Debbie Wasserman Schultz is now at 72% and leads by 47.0 points after trailing earlier.
72% - Trade
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Hong remains the clear market favorite after a major run-up, while fresh AP and local reporting keep Crowley’s Evers-backed reentry as the main counter-catalyst to watch before the Aug. 11 primary.
Hong remains the clear market favorite after a major run-up, while fresh AP and local reporting keep Crowley’s Evers-backed reentry as the main counter-catalyst to watch before the Aug. 11 primary.
88%77% - Trade
FL-23 House winner?
That’s above the previous high of 66%, setting a new peak for the "FL-23 House winner?" race.
That’s above the previous high of 66%, setting a new peak for the "FL-23 House winner?" race.
28%94% - Trade
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Jim Schwartzel is now at 43% and leads by 25.0 points in the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
Jim Schwartzel is now at 43% and leads by 25.0 points in the FL-19 Republican nominee race.
43% - Trade
Maine Senate winner?
Fresh reporting says Jackson has surged to the front in the Platner replacement process, which matters because the market is still repricing who Democrats will actually put on the ballot before the July 25 convention.
Fresh reporting says Jackson has surged to the front in the Platner replacement process, which matters because the market is still repricing who Democrats will actually put on the ballot before the July 25 convention.
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Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
David Crowley’s return to the race, backed by Gov. Tony Evers, gives Hong a more credible moderate challenger and raises the odds of a late primary shakeup.
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
David Crowley’s return to the race, backed by Gov. Tony Evers, gives Hong a more credible moderate challenger and raises the odds of a late primary shakeup.
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NY-04 House winner?
Democratic Party's odds are now 91%, past the previous high of 76%.
Democratic Party's odds are now 91%, past the previous high of 76%.
15%91% - Trade
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Russell Fry is now backed by Donald Trump in the "South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?" race, and his current odds are 28%.
Russell Fry is now backed by Donald Trump in the "South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?" race, and his current odds are 28%.
28% - Trade
FL-09 Republican nominee?
Thomas Chalifoux's odds fell below the prior low of 61%, setting a new floor for "FL-09 Republican nominee?"
Thomas Chalifoux's odds fell below the prior low of 61%, setting a new floor for "FL-09 Republican nominee?"
20%41% - Trade
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Fiona Ma's odds are above the previous high of 75%, setting a new peak for "California Lieutenant Governor winner?"
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FL-14 Republican nominee?
That’s above the previous high of 40% for Kevin Steele in the FL-14 Republican nominee race.
That’s above the previous high of 40% for Kevin Steele in the FL-14 Republican nominee race.
32%72% - Trade
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Mark Lynch has raised $5,918,448.70 this cycle, but Darline Graham Nordone holds the lead in the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner race.
Mark Lynch has raised $5,918,448.70 this cycle, but Darline Graham Nordone holds the lead in the latest odds for the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner race.
1% - Trade
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Barnes is ahead by 21.0 points in the latest poll, but Francesca Hong leads the odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.
Barnes is ahead by 21.0 points in the latest poll, but Francesca Hong leads the odds for the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee race.
4% - Trade
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra's odds are now 93%, above the previous high of 69%.
Xavier Becerra's odds are now 93%, above the previous high of 69%.
24%93% - Trade
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
That’s a fresh low for Ethan Corson in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race, below the prior low of 54.5%.
That’s a fresh low for Ethan Corson in the Kansas Democratic Governor nominee race, below the prior low of 54.5%.
30%25% - Trade
AR-03 House winner?
That’s above the previous high of 6% for the Arkansas 3rd District House winner race.
That’s above the previous high of 6% for the Arkansas 3rd District House winner race.
14%20% - Trade
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
That’s below the previous low of 53%, setting a new floor for Aaron Guckian in the Rhode Island Republican governor nomination race.
That’s below the previous low of 53%, setting a new floor for Aaron Guckian in the Rhode Island Republican governor nomination race.
19%34% - Trade
LA-06 House winner?
Republican Party's odds are now 90%, well above the prior high of 5%.
Republican Party's odds are now 90%, well above the prior high of 5%.
86%91% - Trade
New York City mayoral election winner?
Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, while Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election.
Brad Lander has raised $2,455,129.84 this cycle, while Zohran Mamdani leads the latest odds for the New York City mayoral election.
3% - Trade
Who will win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
Jon Ossoff has raised $77,279,766 this cycle, but Chuck Schumer holds the lead in the latest odds for the Senate Democratic Leader election.
Jon Ossoff has raised $77,279,766 this cycle, but Chuck Schumer holds the lead in the latest odds for the Senate Democratic Leader election.
0% - Trade
Alaska Senate winner? (Person)
Dan Sullivan has raised $8,501,665 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate race.
Dan Sullivan has raised $8,501,665 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for the Alaska Senate race.
44% - Trade
Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?
Angie Craig has raised $11,932,560 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee race.
Angie Craig has raised $11,932,560 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee race.
22% - Trade
CA-07 House winner?
Doris Matsui has raised $3,192,087 this cycle, but Mai Vang holds the lead by 12 points in the latest odds.
Doris Matsui has raised $3,192,087 this cycle, but Mai Vang holds the lead by 12 points in the latest odds.
43% - Trade
Maine Senate winner? (Person)
Graham Platner has raised $21,050,419 this cycle, while Troy Jackson leads the latest odds for the Maine Senate race.
Graham Platner has raised $21,050,419 this cycle, while Troy Jackson leads the latest odds for the Maine Senate race.
1% - Trade
NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the odds lead in "NH-01 Democratic nominee?"
Maura Sullivan has raised $3,333,574.88 this cycle, but Stefany Shaheen holds the odds lead in "NH-01 Democratic nominee?"
16% - Trade
Connecticut Democratic Governor nominee?
Luke Bronin has raised $2,901,978.94 this cycle, including $598,270.54 in the last period, while Ned Lamont leads the latest odds for the nomination.
Luke Bronin has raised $2,901,978.94 this cycle, including $598,270.54 in the last period, while Ned Lamont leads the latest odds for the nomination.
0% - Trade
Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?
Bryan Steil has raised $5,302,288.58 this cycle, while Tom Tiffany holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee race.
Bryan Steil has raised $5,302,288.58 this cycle, while Tom Tiffany holds the lead in the latest odds for the Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee race.
3% - Trade
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
Graham Platner has raised $21,050,419 this cycle, but Troy Jackson holds the lead in the latest odds for "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?"
Graham Platner has raised $21,050,419 this cycle, but Troy Jackson holds the lead in the latest odds for "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?"
1% - Trade
FL-25 Democratic nominee?
Debbie Wasserman Schultz has raised $3,146,282.87 this cycle, while Jared Moskowitz holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-25 Democratic nominee?"
Debbie Wasserman Schultz has raised $3,146,282.87 this cycle, while Jared Moskowitz holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-25 Democratic nominee?"
1% - Trade
FL-22 Democratic nominee?
Debbie Wasserman Schultz has raised $3,146,282.87 this cycle, but Pia Dandiya holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-22 Democratic nominee?"
Debbie Wasserman Schultz has raised $3,146,282.87 this cycle, but Pia Dandiya holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-22 Democratic nominee?"
1% - Trade
2028 Republican VP nominee
Ted Cruz has raised $10,228,279.58 this cycle, but Marco Rubio holds the lead in the latest odds for the 2028 Republican VP nominee.
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CA-04 House winner?
Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, while Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner.
Eric Jones has raised $8,378,928.57 this cycle, while Mike Thompson leads the latest odds for CA-04 House winner.
11% - Trade
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Cox’s exit narrows the GOP field to James and Perry Johnson, reinforcing James’s frontrunner status and making the nomination path more concentrated for traders.
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
Cox’s exit narrows the GOP field to James and Perry Johnson, reinforcing James’s frontrunner status and making the nomination path more concentrated for traders.
- Trade
FL-04 Democratic nominee?
LaShonda Holloway is now at 71% and leads by 48.0 points in the FL-04 Democratic nominee race.
LaShonda Holloway is now at 71% and leads by 48.0 points in the FL-04 Democratic nominee race.
71% - Trade
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Donald Trump is backing Donald Trump for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee race, and the current odds are 3%.
Donald Trump is backing Donald Trump for the 2028 Republican presidential nominee race, and the current odds are 3%.
3% - Trade
South Carolina Senate winner?
Democratic chances in the South Carolina Senate contract slid to about 15% as reporting shows the seat has opened up and the special-election process is now underway, making the market repricing trader-relevant.
Democratic chances in the South Carolina Senate contract slid to about 15% as reporting shows the seat has opened up and the special-election process is now underway, making the market repricing trader-relevant.
4%15% - Trade
Ohio Governor winner?
Cook Political Report moved Ohio’s governor race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican, a fresh repricing that adds context to the Republican Party market’s recent uptick and keeps the contest on trader watch.
Cook Political Report moved Ohio’s governor race from Likely Republican to Lean Republican, a fresh repricing that adds context to the Republican Party market’s recent uptick and keeps the contest on trader watch.
4%53% - Trade
FL-25 Republican nominee?
Scott Singer is now at 41%, with an 8-point lead in the FL-25 Republican nominee race.
Scott Singer is now at 41%, with an 8-point lead in the FL-25 Republican nominee race.
41% - Trade
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
Darline Graham Nordone now has Donald Trump’s backing in the "South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?" race, and her current odds are 4%.
Darline Graham Nordone now has Donald Trump’s backing in the "South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?" race, and her current odds are 4%.
4% - Trade
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
The latest poll has Jay Collins ahead by 8.8 points, but Byron Donalds is still the odds leader.
The latest poll has Jay Collins ahead by 8.8 points, but Byron Donalds is still the odds leader.
1% - Trade
Maine Senate winner? (Party)
Graham Platner’s formal exit locks in the Democratic replacement scramble, keeping Maine’s Senate market focused on who can get onto the ballot before the July 27 deadline.
Maine Senate winner? (Party)
Graham Platner’s formal exit locks in the Democratic replacement scramble, keeping Maine’s Senate market focused on who can get onto the ballot before the July 27 deadline.
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MA-08 Democratic nominee?
Stephen Lynch is now the front-runner at 54%, with a 17-point lead in the Massachusetts 8th District Democratic nominee race.
Stephen Lynch is now the front-runner at 54%, with a 17-point lead in the Massachusetts 8th District Democratic nominee race.
54% - Trade
MI-04 Democratic nominee?
Sean Andrew McCann is now the leader with 98% odds, ahead by 90.0 points.
Sean Andrew McCann is now the leader with 98% odds, ahead by 90.0 points.
98% - Trade
Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
Elaine Pelino is now at 70%, ahead by 40.0 points after trailing earlier.
Elaine Pelino is now at 70%, ahead by 40.0 points after trailing earlier.
70% - Trade
Tallahassee Mayoral Election
Loranne Ausley is now leading Tallahassee's mayoral race with 41% and a 14.0-point margin.
Loranne Ausley is now leading Tallahassee's mayoral race with 41% and a 14.0-point margin.
41% - Trade
FL-28 Democratic nominee?
Phil Ehr is now the front-runner for the FL-28 Democratic nominee spot, with 98% odds and a 97-point lead.
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St. Petersburg Mayoral Election
Charlie Crist is now at 72%, with a 53.0-point lead in the St. Petersburg mayoral election.
Charlie Crist is now at 72%, with a 53.0-point lead in the St. Petersburg mayoral election.
72% - Trade
WI-07 Republican nominee?
Michael Alfonso is now at 97% and leads by 82.0 points in the Wisconsin-07 Republican nominee race.
Michael Alfonso is now at 97% and leads by 82.0 points in the Wisconsin-07 Republican nominee race.
97% - Trade
WI-08 Democratic nominee?
Rick Crosson is now at 50% and leads by 22.0 points in the WI-08 Democratic nominee race.
Rick Crosson is now at 50% and leads by 22.0 points in the WI-08 Democratic nominee race.
50% - Trade
HI-01 Republican nominee?
Adriel Lam is now at 99%, with a 97.0-point lead after overtaking the previous leader.
Adriel Lam is now at 99%, with a 97.0-point lead after overtaking the previous leader.
99% - Trade
VA-05 Democratic nominee?
Tom Perriello is now at 93% and leads by 86.0 points in the VA-05 Democratic nominee race.
Tom Perriello is now at 93% and leads by 86.0 points in the VA-05 Democratic nominee race.
93% - Trade
WI-03 Democratic nominee?
Rebecca Cooke is now at 83% and leads by 61.0 points in the WI-03 Democratic nominee race.
Rebecca Cooke is now at 83% and leads by 61.0 points in the WI-03 Democratic nominee race.
83% - Trade
Michigan Republican Governor nominee?
John James is now at 82% and leads by 72.9 points in the Michigan Republican governor nomination race.
John James is now at 82% and leads by 72.9 points in the Michigan Republican governor nomination race.
82% - Trade
MO-03 Democratic nominee?
Bethany E Mann is now at 92% and leads by 83.0 points after overtaking the prior leader.
Bethany E Mann is now at 92% and leads by 83.0 points after overtaking the prior leader.
92% - Trade
VA-10 Republican nominee?
Dave Beckwith is now the front-runner for the VA-10 Republican nominee spot at 64%, with a 24.0-point lead.
Dave Beckwith is now the front-runner for the VA-10 Republican nominee spot at 64%, with a 24.0-point lead.
64% - Trade
Maine Senate winner? (Party)
Platner’s exit makes the Democratic replacement process the key near-term driver in a closely watched Maine Senate market, with the party now on a July 27 deadline to name a new nominee.
Platner’s exit makes the Democratic replacement process the key near-term driver in a closely watched Maine Senate market, with the party now on a July 27 deadline to name a new nominee.
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Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Donalds remains the overwhelming GOP frontrunner after new Florida GOP endorsements and a reported $20 million media buy, keeping the nomination market pinned near the top ahead of the August 18 primary.
Donalds remains the overwhelming GOP frontrunner after new Florida GOP endorsements and a reported $20 million media buy, keeping the nomination market pinned near the top ahead of the August 18 primary.
6%95% - Trade
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Raman’s contract is up sharply into the high-30s, and fresh reporting shows she has overtaken Spencer Pratt and is now the clear runoff challenger to Karen Bass, keeping pressure on the Bass-Raman matchup.
Raman’s contract is up sharply into the high-30s, and fresh reporting shows she has overtaken Spencer Pratt and is now the clear runoff challenger to Karen Bass, keeping pressure on the Bass-Raman matchup.
26%37% - Trade
California Governor winner? (Party)
Democratic win odds in California governor’s race have moved up to about 0.93 while Republican odds slid to about 0.06, matching fresh reporting that Trump-endorsed Steve Hilton advanced to the general election but did not create a new GOP path to victory.
Democratic win odds in California governor’s race have moved up to about 0.93 while Republican odds slid to about 0.06, matching fresh reporting that Trump-endorsed Steve Hilton advanced to the general election but did not create a new GOP path to victory.
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Maine Senate winner? (Party)
Graham Platner has now suspended his Maine Senate campaign, extending the replacement scramble and keeping the race in active repricing mode for Democrats vs. Republicans.
Graham Platner has now suspended his Maine Senate campaign, extending the replacement scramble and keeping the race in active repricing mode for Democrats vs. Republicans.
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Maine Senate winner? (Party)
Reuters says the Maine Democratic Party is limiting Graham Platner’s role in a potential replacement process, sharpening the odds that his withdrawal would trigger a party-managed reset rather than a candidate-controlled handoff.
Reuters says the Maine Democratic Party is limiting Graham Platner’s role in a potential replacement process, sharpening the odds that his withdrawal would trigger a party-managed reset rather than a candidate-controlled handoff.
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Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Abdul El-Sayed’s Michigan Democratic Senate primary contract jumped to 86% as Mallory McMorrow’s suspension leaves a two-way race with Haley Stevens, a fresh repricing traders should watch ahead of the Aug. 4 primary.
Abdul El-Sayed’s Michigan Democratic Senate primary contract jumped to 86% as Mallory McMorrow’s suspension leaves a two-way race with Haley Stevens, a fresh repricing traders should watch ahead of the Aug. 4 primary.
25%86% - Trade
Maine Senate winner? (Party)
New reporting says leading Democrats and the Maine party are pulling support and urging Graham Platner to withdraw, adding fresh downside risk for Democrats in the Maine Senate market.
New reporting says leading Democrats and the Maine party are pulling support and urging Graham Platner to withdraw, adding fresh downside risk for Democrats in the Maine Senate market.
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Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Mallory McMorrow’s suspension leaves Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens in a two-person Democratic primary, reshaping the contest a month before the August 4 vote.
Mallory McMorrow’s suspension leaves Abdul El-Sayed and Haley Stevens in a two-person Democratic primary, reshaping the contest a month before the August 4 vote.
83% - Trade
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Kendall Qualls is down to 30% after a sharp one-hour drop, while fresh reporting again highlights his cash weakness and Demuth’s stronger position, keeping the GOP primary in active repricing.
Kendall Qualls is down to 30% after a sharp one-hour drop, while fresh reporting again highlights his cash weakness and Demuth’s stronger position, keeping the GOP primary in active repricing.
60%30% - Trade
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Demuth’s nominee market jumped while Qualls fell sharply, and fresh reporting on Qualls’ cash squeeze keeps the primary’s odds in flux for traders.
Demuth’s nominee market jumped while Qualls fell sharply, and fresh reporting on Qualls’ cash squeeze keeps the primary’s odds in flux for traders.
68%42%
