




New polling shows Steve Hilton and Chad Bianco ahead in a crowded race, while Democrats remain split and no Democrat is above 13%. That keeps alive the possibility of two Republicans advancing under the top-two primary system. A debate exclusion fight has also added more tension to the race. The latest polling slightly improves the case for a Republican-heavy top-two outcome and raises uncertainty for Democrats. The debate dispute adds little direct clarity but underscores the crowded, unsettled field.





Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
E. SwalwellEric Swalwell
A. PadillaAlex Padilla
E. AgarwalEthan Agarwal
K. PorterKatie Porter
X. BecerraXavier BecerraSource: FEC