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Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 43 daysLast updated: Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

$130.8K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$130.8K

24h volume

$481

P. Flanagan87%

A. Craig17%

K. Ellison1%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Angie Craig has raised $9,290,611.68 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee race.

18%

News

AINews Summary

Republicans are projecting confidence about expanding their Senate majority in 2026. The latest items are broad and do not add new Minnesota-specific information for this nomination market. These updates are mostly national and do not clearly move the Minnesota Democratic nomination market. With no race-specific news, odds likely stay driven by existing candidate positioning.

Articles

FNFox News4 months ago

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

Midterm elections 2026 present high hurdles for Republicans defending Senate control amid inflation concerns and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review4 months ago

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

WASHINGTON — House members eagerly hoping for a spot across the Capitol in the Senate are now facing an unexpected variable in their campaign calculus: the conflict in Iran. If the war drags on, it will become a delicate issue that both Republican and Democratic candidates will need to balance, albeit for different reasons. Their first test came Thursday, when the House adopted a GOP ...

TDThe Daily Beast6 months ago

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Harry Enten said the shift is a key indicator that the party is poised to take the House in the 2026 midterms.

FNFox News6 months ago

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

Senator Elizabeth Warren agreed Monday with James Carville in saying Democrats need to run the most populist campaign since the Great Depression to win the 2026 midterms.

HHuffPost6 months ago

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Cost-cutting at the Postal Service has made it more common for mail to be postmarked a day or more after it’s in the system — and that could make it harder for people to vote.

WEWashington Examiner6 months ago

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Green said it’s “up in the air” if Walz will testify before the House Oversight Committee, but noted he's appeared before it in the past.

NNewsweek6 months ago

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

A growing number of Americans are backing calls to abolish ICE, the poll found.

FNFox News6 months ago

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Senator Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against courting wealthy donors ahead of 2026 midterms, arguing the party must focus on working people to win elections.

TVThe Verge6 months ago

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) urged Democrats to put working people over rich donors.

NNewsweek6 months ago

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

The proportion of young people who identify with either party is declining, according to new polling.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

43.6%

34.3%

P. Flanagan

A. Craig

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Flanagan	Craig
Polling Average	Flanagan+9.3	43.6%	34.3%
Public Policy PollingJun 25 - 26	Flanagan+7.0	43.0%	36.0%
SurveyUSAJun 11 - 16	Craig+5.0	36.0%	41.0%
GQRMay 31 - Jun 3	Flanagan+17.0	55.0%	38.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 26 - 28	Craig+1.0	42.0%	43.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 29 - 30	Flanagan+11.0	44.0%	33.0%
GQRJan 14 - 20	Flanagan+13.0	49.0%	36.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 16 - 17	Flanagan+12.0	40.0%	28.0%
Impact ResearchJan 13 - 15	Flanagan+3.0	45.0%	42.0%
NRSCJul 4 - 7	Flanagan+6.0	30.0%	24.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 14 - 15	Flanagan+30.0	52.0%	22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Peggy Flanagan

Minnesota DFL

Minnesota DFL endorsed Peggy Flanagan for U.S. Senate at its 2026 convention.

Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

News

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

News

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?