Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 64 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

$93.6K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Claim Offer$50TradeBonus

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$93.6K

24h volume

$115

P. Flanagan82%

A. Craig16%

I. Omar2%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Minnesota 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Minnesota 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Ilhan Omar has raised $5,090,952.62 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for the Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee race.

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

12d

Craig’s chance in the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary fell to 19% after she said she will no longer seek the party endorsement, a move that leaves Peggy Flanagan positioned to win the convention and reinforces Flanagan’s advantage with party insiders. The shift is trader-relevant because it pairs a fresh public catalyst with a real price move in the nomination market.

19%3%

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

13d

Angie Craig has raised $9,290,611.68 this cycle, but Peggy Flanagan holds the lead in the latest odds for "Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?"

17%

News

AINews Summary

Republicans are projecting confidence about expanding their Senate majority in 2026. The latest coverage also says the Iran conflict is creating campaign complications for House members running for Senate. No Minnesota-specific nomination development is reported. The broader Senate environment looks favorable for Republicans, but the effect on this Minnesota Democratic nomination market is indirect. The Iran issue adds some uncertainty for House candidates, though no Minnesota-specific shift is reported.

Articles

FNFox News3 months ago

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

Midterm elections 2026 present high hurdles for Republicans defending Senate control amid inflation concerns and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings.

SSSpokane Spokesman-Review3 months ago

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

WASHINGTON — House members eagerly hoping for a spot across the Capitol in the Senate are now facing an unexpected variable in their campaign calculus: the conflict in Iran. If the war drags on, it will become a delicate issue that both Republican and Democratic candidates will need to balance, albeit for different reasons. Their first test came Thursday, when the House adopted a GOP ...

TDThe Daily Beast5 months ago

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Harry Enten said the shift is a key indicator that the party is poised to take the House in the 2026 midterms.

FNFox News5 months ago

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

Senator Elizabeth Warren agreed Monday with James Carville in saying Democrats need to run the most populist campaign since the Great Depression to win the 2026 midterms.

HHuffPost5 months ago

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Cost-cutting at the Postal Service has made it more common for mail to be postmarked a day or more after it’s in the system — and that could make it harder for people to vote.

WEWashington Examiner5 months ago

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Green said it’s “up in the air” if Walz will testify before the House Oversight Committee, but noted he's appeared before it in the past.

NNewsweek5 months ago

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

A growing number of Americans are backing calls to abolish ICE, the poll found.

FNFox News5 months ago

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Senator Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against courting wealthy donors ahead of 2026 midterms, arguing the party must focus on working people to win elections.

TVThe Verge5 months ago

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) urged Democrats to put working people over rich donors.

NNewsweek5 months ago

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

The proportion of young people who identify with either party is declining, according to new polling.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

44.6%

33.3%

P. Flanagan

A. Craig

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Flanagan	Craig
Polling Average	Flanagan+11.4	44.6%	33.3%
GQRMay 31 - Jun 3	Flanagan+17.0	55.0%	38.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 26 - 28	Craig+1.0	42.0%	43.0%
Public Policy PollingApr 29 - 30	Flanagan+11.0	44.0%	33.0%
GQRJan 14 - 20	Flanagan+13.0	49.0%	36.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 16 - 17	Flanagan+12.0	40.0%	28.0%
Impact ResearchJan 13 - 15	Flanagan+3.0	45.0%	42.0%
NRSCJul 4 - 7	Flanagan+6.0	30.0%	24.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 14 - 15	Flanagan+30.0	52.0%	22.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

A. Craig

I. Omar

B. McCollum

M. Franzen

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. CraigAngie Craig

$9.29MContrib: $7.87M

$4.90MSpent: $4.40M

$293.0KLast period: $2.23M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

I. OmarIlhan Omar

$5.09MContrib: $4.94M

$1.57MSpent: $3.84M

$256.1KLast period: $1.94M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

B. McCollumBetty McCollum

$1.04MContrib: $1.04M

$669.5KSpent: $930.1K

$62.0KLast period: $241.0K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

M. FranzenMelisa López Franzen

$299.4KContrib: $296.1K

$0Spent: $299.4K

$42.8KLast period: $5

TERMINATION REPORT · Jul 15, 2025

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Senate Democratic Primary?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

News

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

News

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

House members vying for Senate face conundrum with Iran votes

CNN Data Guru Stunned by Big Shift Among Democrats

Democrats should reject billionaires for populist agenda, Warren says

A USPS Issue Could Impact The 2026 Midterms

Walz has 'a lot of work to do': Lauren Green

Support for Abolishing ICE Surges After Minneapolis Shooting-Poll

Elizabeth Warren warns Democrats against catering to wealthy elites

Democrats should reject tech influence to win elections, Warren says

Democrats and Republicans Are Losing Young Americans

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?