Prediction Edge

The Smarter Way to Follow Elections

California Governor Primary
California Governor winner? (Person)
$49.2MNOV 4, 202625 candidates
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra95%Steve HiltonSteve Hilton5%
100%75%50%25%0%

Latest Update

Following Eric Swalwell’s abrupt exit, the California governor’s primary has tightened into a dead heat between Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer ahead of the May 5 debate, with no clear Democratic frontrunner emerging.

Latest Insights

Hollie Noveletsky

NH Republican US House

Hollie Noveletsky leads the latest poll in "NH-01 Republican nominee?" but is not the favorite to win

21%
Jerry Carl

AL Republican US House

Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl in "AL-01 Republican nominee?"

72%

WI Governor

Republican Party hit a new high at 46% in "Wisconsin Governor winner?"

46%21%
See all

US Elections by State & Office

Florida

85

California

62

Texas

46

Michigan

40

New York

31

Minnesota

27

Tennessee

26

Wisconsin

26

Missouri

24

Ohio

24

Georgia

23

Illinois

23

Massachusetts

23

Pennsylvania

22

Virginia

21

North Carolina

20

Kansas

18

Louisiana

18

Arizona

15

New Hampshire

14

South Carolina

14

Colorado

13

New Jersey

13

Alabama

12

Connecticut

12

Iowa

12

Indiana

12

Washington

12

Maryland

11

Nevada

11

Oklahoma

11

Rhode Island

11

Alaska

9

Kentucky

9

Oregon

9

Vermont

9

Arkansas

8

Maine

8

Wyoming

8

Hawaii

7

Delaware

6

Idaho

6

Mississippi

6

Nebraska

6

New Mexico

6

South Dakota

6

Utah

6

Montana

4

North Dakota

4

West Virginia

4
OFFICES:PresidentialUS SenateUS HouseGovernorState / Local

Upcoming Elections

See all

July

TUE 28

South Dakota 2026 primary runoff, if required

August

TUE 4

Kansas 2026 primary

Michigan 2026 primary

Missouri 2026 primary

Virginia 2026 primary

Washington 2026 primary

August

THU 6

Tennessee 2026 primary

August

SAT 8

Hawaii 2026 primary

August

TUE 11

Connecticut 2026 primary

Minnesota 2026 primary

Vermont 2026 primary

Wisconsin 2026 primary

Close Races

Ranked by smallest spread between the top two outcome prices (leader vs runner-up).
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Republican Party

0% 24h
16%

Republican Party

0% 24h
13%
+ 13 more
$48.6KNOV 7, 2026
MO-04 Democratic nominee?
Hartzell Gray 3rd

Hartzell Gray 3rd

0% 24h
74%
Jordan Herrera

Jordan Herrera

0% 24h
16%
+ 5 more
$24.6KAUG 5, 2026
LA-04 Republican nominee?
Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

0% 24h
10%
Josh Morott

Josh Morott

0% 24h
5%
+ 1 more
$274NOV 3, 2027
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Keith Gross

Keith Gross

51% 24h
63%
Evan Power

Evan Power

15% 24h
22%
+ 6 more
$37.9KAUG 19, 2026
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

0% 24h
10%
Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

0% 24h
8%
+ 43 more
$1.7MNOV 7, 2028
MA-08 Democratic nominee?
Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

0% 24h
52%
Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

14% 24h
48%
$10.8KSEP 16, 2026
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden

18% 24h
97%
Toby Doeden

Toby Doeden

14% 24h
5%
+ 2 more
$360.7KJUL 29, 2026
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

6% 24h
18%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
17%
+ 28 more
$40.4MNOV 7, 2028
LA-05 Republican nominee?
Misti Cordell

Misti Cordell

0% 24h
4%
Rick Edmonds

Rick Edmonds

33% 24h
2%
+ 5 more
$17.0KNOV 3, 2027
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
Caleb Walker

Caleb Walker

80% 24h
12%
John Day

John Day

2% 24h
8%
+ 1 more
$23.7KNOV 3, 2027
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
40%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
31%
+ 36 more
$45.0MNOV 7, 2028
TN-06 Republican nominee?
Johnny Garrett

Johnny Garrett

0% 24h
75%
Van Hilleary

Van Hilleary

0% 24h
25%
+ 2 more
$17.4KAUG 7, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Tom Begich

Tom Begich

0% 24h
32%
Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

8% 24h
26%
+ 14 more
$128.1KNOV 7, 2026
Ohio Governor winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
58%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
44%
$352.4KNOV 7, 2026
LA-01 Republican nominee?
Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

9% 24h
11%
Randall Arrington

Randall Arrington

0% 24h
1%
$100.7KNOV 3, 2027
VA-01 House winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
53%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
51%
$23.7KNOV 7, 2026
LA-01 Democratic nominee?
Lauren Jewett

Lauren Jewett

0% 24h
5%
Jim Long

Jim Long

0% 24h
1%
$58.5KNOV 3, 2027
Ohio Senate winner?

Republican Party

4% 24h
51%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
51%
$340.5KNOV 7, 2026
Georgia Governor winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
60%

Republican Party

0% 24h
42%
$104.6KNOV 7, 2026
FL-14 House winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
57%

Republican Party

0% 24h
45%
$17.7KNOV 7, 2026

Odds Moving

Ranked by the largest 24h percentage change in the leader-vs-runner-up spread.
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
Caleb Walker

Caleb Walker

80% 24h
12%
John Day

John Day

2% 24h
8%
+ 1 more
$23.7KNOV 3, 2027
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Mike Lindell

Mike Lindell

54% 24h
54%
Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth

61% 24h
44%
+ 6 more
$154.3KAUG 12, 2026
MA-08 Democratic nominee?
Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

0% 24h
52%
Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

14% 24h
48%
$10.8KSEP 16, 2026
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Keith Gross

Keith Gross

51% 24h
63%
Evan Power

Evan Power

15% 24h
22%
+ 6 more
$37.9KAUG 19, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Tom Begich

Tom Begich

0% 24h
32%
Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

8% 24h
26%
+ 14 more
$128.1KNOV 7, 2026
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden

18% 24h
97%
Toby Doeden

Toby Doeden

14% 24h
5%
+ 2 more
$360.7KJUL 29, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Republican Party

13% 24h
51%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
45%
$42.7KNOV 7, 2026
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

21% 24h
83%
David Crowley

David Crowley

54% 24h
10%
+ 9 more
$201.6KAUG 12, 2026
Maine Senate winner?

Democratic Party

9% 24h
61%

Republican Party

17% 24h
39%
$909.6KNOV 7, 2026
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
Cindy Holscher

Cindy Holscher

35% 24h
76%
Ethan Corson

Ethan Corson

6% 24h
25%
+ 2 more
$26.8KAUG 5, 2026
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

3% 24h
54%
Mike Rogers

Mike Rogers

21% 24h
29%
+ 2 more
$31.3KNOV 7, 2026
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Alexi Giannoulias

Alexi Giannoulias

22% 24h
47%
Paul Vallas

Paul Vallas

0% 24h
11%
+ 5 more
$38.7KFEB 23, 2028
VA-07 Republican nominee?
Doug Ollivant

Doug Ollivant

0% 24h
91%
John Gray

John Gray

0% 24h
5%
+ 4 more
$53.8KAUG 5, 2026
FL-22 House winner?

Republican Party

4% 24h
68%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
35%
$35.6KNOV 7, 2026
MO-05 House winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
87%

Democratic Party

22% 24h
11%
$18.1KNOV 7, 2026
FL-16 Republican nominee?
Sydney Gruters

Sydney Gruters

24% 24h
95%
Eddie Speir

Eddie Speir

0% 24h
2%
+ 12 more
$192.8KAUG 19, 2026
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

6% 24h
18%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
17%
+ 28 more
$40.4MNOV 7, 2028
Ohio Senate winner?

Republican Party

4% 24h
51%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
51%
$340.5KNOV 7, 2026
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party

2% 24h
57%

Democratic Party

6% 24h
44%
$5.0MNOV 7, 2026
FL-19 Republican nominee?
Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

7% 24h
43%
Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

16% 24h
25%
+ 6 more
$16.1KAUG 19, 2026

Top Races

Ranked by highest total traded volume across markets in the event.
See all
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

0% 24h
17%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

0% 24h
14%
+ 44 more
$116.7MNOV 7, 2028
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
40%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
31%
+ 36 more
$45.0MNOV 7, 2028
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

6% 24h
18%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
17%
+ 28 more
$40.4MNOV 7, 2028
California Governor winner? (Person)
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

1% 24h
95%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

4% 24h
5%
+ 23 more
$37.6MNOV 4, 2026
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Karen Bass

Karen Bass

2% 24h
63%
Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

20% 24h
37%
+ 8 more
$32.2MNOV 4, 2026
Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
84%

Republican Party

0% 24h
17%
$13.9MNOV 7, 2026
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party

2% 24h
57%

Democratic Party

6% 24h
44%
$5.0MNOV 7, 2026
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

1% 24h
97%
Jay Collins

Jay Collins

0% 24h
5%
+ 7 more
$5.0MAUG 19, 2026
Texas Senate winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
56%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
42%
$4.3MNOV 8, 2026
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

0% 24h
10%
Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

0% 24h
8%
+ 43 more
$1.7MNOV 7, 2028
2028 Republican VP nominee
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

8% 24h
28%
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
7%
+ 19 more
$1.1MNOV 7, 2028
Maine Senate winner?

Democratic Party

9% 24h
61%

Republican Party

17% 24h
39%
$909.6KNOV 7, 2026
California Governor winner?

Democratic Party

2% 24h
95%

Republican Party

8% 24h
6%
$765.3KNOV 4, 2026
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

0% 24h
67%
Haley Stevens

Haley Stevens

6% 24h
37%
+ 7 more
$670.4KAUG 5, 2026
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Democratic Party

0% 24h
58%

Republican Party

0% 24h
42%
$473.5KNOV 7, 2029
Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?
Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

2% 24h
100%
Tim Walz

Tim Walz

0% 24h
0%
+ 8 more
$456.4KAUG 12, 2026
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden

18% 24h
97%
Toby Doeden

Toby Doeden

14% 24h
5%
+ 2 more
$360.7KJUL 29, 2026
Ohio Governor winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
58%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
44%
$352.4KNOV 7, 2026
Arizona Governor winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
81%

Republican Party

8% 24h
20%
$345.4KNOV 7, 2026
Ohio Senate winner?

Republican Party

4% 24h
51%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
51%
$340.5KNOV 7, 2026

News

Boulder Daily Camera5 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
New York Post4 months ago

Democrats blew it, now two Republicans could snatch Governor race

Democrats blew it, now two Republicans could snatch Governor race
Naples Daily News5 months ago

Texas primary race not over yet, but Trump wants it to 'STOP NOW!'

Reading Eagle5 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
Los Angeles Times4 months ago

Republicans top California's confounding race for governor, poll shows

Republicans top California's confounding race for governor, poll shows
TCPalm5 months ago

Texas primary race not over yet, but Trump wants it to 'STOP NOW!'

San Diego Union-Tribune5 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
Fox News5 months ago

State Rep James Talarico wins Texas Democratic Senate primary election race

State Rep James Talarico wins Texas Democratic Senate primary election race
USA TODAY4 months ago

Latest on Senate, House races

Washington Examiner5 months ago

Cooper vs. Whatley

Cooper vs. Whatley
POLITICO4 months ago

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois
Baltimore Sun5 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch US Senate in North Carolina, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch US Senate in North Carolina, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Top Fundraisers

Jon Ossoff
Democrat
Jon Ossoff

Raised $77.3M in 2026

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
▲ 105.88% 24H14%
James Talarico
Democrat
James Talarico

Raised $68.6M in 2026

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
▼ 34.62% 24H2%
Mark Kelly
Democrat
Mark Kelly

Raised $40.8M in 2026

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
▼ 11.76% 24H3%
Roy Cooper
Democrat
Roy Cooper

Raised $35.0M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▼ 40% 24H0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democrat
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Raised $32.6M in 2026

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
▲ 16.67% 24H14%
Bernie Sanders
Independent
Bernie Sanders

Raised $24.9M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▲ 100% 24H1%
Graham Platner
Democrat
Graham Platner

Raised $21.1M in 2026

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
▼ 95% 24H0%
Mike Johnson
Republican
Mike Johnson

Raised $20.5M in 2026

FL-07 Republican nominee?
▲ 4650% 24H10%