Prediction Edge

The Smarter Way to Follow Elections

California Governor Primary
California Governor winner?
$46.3MNOV 4, 202625 candidates
Xavier BecerraXavier Becerra89%Steve HiltonSteve Hilton10%
100%75%50%25%0%

Latest Update

Following Eric Swalwell’s abrupt exit, the California governor’s primary has tightened into a dead heat between Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer ahead of the May 5 debate, with no clear Democratic frontrunner emerging.

Latest Insights

John Rutherford

FL Republican US House

John Rutherford took the lead in "FL-05 Republican nominee?"

92%88%
Pamela Evette

SC Republican Governor

Donald Trump endorsed Pamela Evette in "South Carolina Republican Governor nominee?"

75%
Billy Webster

SC Democratic Governor

Billy Webster leads the latest poll in "South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?" but trails Jermaine Johnson in odds

1%
See all

US Elections by State & Office

California

119

Florida

83

New York

56

Texas

45

Michigan

39

Georgia

32

Minnesota

27

Maryland

26

South Carolina

26

Tennessee

26

Wisconsin

26

Arizona

24

Colorado

24

Missouri

24

Illinois

23

Massachusetts

23

Ohio

22

Oklahoma

22

Pennsylvania

22

Virginia

21

Louisiana

20

North Carolina

20

Connecticut

19

Kansas

18

Nevada

16

Alabama

15

New Hampshire

14

New Jersey

14

Indiana

13

Maine

12

Washington

12

Iowa

11

Rhode Island

11

Alaska

9

Kentucky

9

Oregon

9

Utah

9

Arkansas

8

Hawaii

7

Vermont

7

Delaware

6

Idaho

6

Mississippi

6

Nebraska

6

New Mexico

6

South Dakota

6

Wyoming

6

North Dakota

5

Montana

4

West Virginia

4

District of Columbia

2
OFFICES:PresidentialUS SenateUS HouseGovernorState / Local

Upcoming Elections

See all

June

TUE 16

Alabama 2026 primary runoff, if required

District of Columbia 2026 primary

Georgia 2026 primary runoff, if required

Oklahoma 2026 primary

June

TUE 23

Maryland 2026 primary

New York 2026 primary

South Carolina 2026 primary runoff, if required

Utah 2026 primary

June

SAT 27

Louisiana 2026 primary runoff, if required

June

TUE 30

Colorado 2026 primary

July

TUE 21

Arizona 2026 primary

Close Races

Ranked by smallest spread between the top two outcome prices (leader vs runner-up).
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Republican Party

0% 24h
15%

Republican Party

0% 24h
15%
+ 13 more
$48.6KNOV 7, 2026
MO-04 Democratic nominee?
Hartzell Gray 3rd

Hartzell Gray 3rd

0% 24h
57%
Randy Miller

Randy Miller

0% 24h
11%
+ 5 more
$24.6KAUG 5, 2026
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Keith Gross

Keith Gross

51% 24h
65%
Evan Power

Evan Power

15% 24h
27%
+ 6 more
$37.9KAUG 19, 2026
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

0% 24h
10%
Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

0% 24h
8%
+ 43 more
$1.7MNOV 7, 2028
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Toby Doeden

Toby Doeden

14% 24h
52%
Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden

18% 24h
48%
+ 1 more
$315.1KJUL 29, 2026
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
18%
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

6% 24h
16%
+ 25 more
$36.3MNOV 7, 2028
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
Tia LeBrun

Tia LeBrun

75% 24h
7%
Caleb Walker

Caleb Walker

80% 24h
1%
+ 1 more
$23.7KNOV 3, 2027
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
32%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
30%
+ 34 more
$40.2MNOV 7, 2028
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Tom Begich

Tom Begich

0% 24h
23%
Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

8% 24h
23%
+ 14 more
$128.1KNOV 7, 2026
Ohio Governor winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
55%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
45%
$352.4KNOV 7, 2026
LA-01 Republican nominee?
Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise

9% 24h
11%
Randall Arrington

Randall Arrington

0% 24h
5%
$100.7KNOV 3, 2027
CO-01 Democratic nominee?
Diana DeGette

Diana DeGette

0% 24h
61%
Melat Kiros

Melat Kiros

2% 24h
49%
+ 1 more
$28.2KJUL 1, 2026
VA-01 House winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
52%

Republican Party

0% 24h
52%
$23.7KNOV 7, 2026
LA-01 Democratic nominee?
Lauren Jewett

Lauren Jewett

0% 24h
8%
Jim Long

Jim Long

0% 24h
2%
$58.5KNOV 3, 2027
Ohio Senate winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
58%

Republican Party

4% 24h
42%
$340.5KNOV 7, 2026
Georgia Governor winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
52%

Republican Party

0% 24h
46%
$104.6KNOV 7, 2026
Who will win the 2026 DC Democratic Mayoral Primary?
Janeese Lewis George

Janeese Lewis George

0% 24h
84%
Kenyan McDuffie

Kenyan McDuffie

0% 24h
23%
+ 11 more
$50.8KJUN 17, 2026
NY-12 Democratic nominee?
Micah Lasher

Micah Lasher

16% 24h
52%
Alex Bores

Alex Bores

5% 24h
40%
+ 18 more
$416.8KJUN 24, 2026
CA-33 primary: first place
Pete Aguilar

Pete Aguilar

0% 24h
92%
Antonis Christodoulou

Antonis Christodoulou

0% 24h
1%
+ 5 more
$401JUN 6, 2026
FL-22 House winner?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
56%

Republican Party

4% 24h
48%
$35.6KNOV 7, 2026

Odds Moving

Ranked by the largest 24h percentage change in the leader-vs-runner-up spread.
CA-27 primary: first place
Jason Gibbs

Jason Gibbs

63% 24h
86%
George Whitesides

George Whitesides

92% 24h
17%
+ 2 more
$13.3KJUN 6, 2026
LA-03 Democratic nominee?
Tia LeBrun

Tia LeBrun

75% 24h
7%
Caleb Walker

Caleb Walker

80% 24h
1%
+ 1 more
$23.7KNOV 3, 2027
Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?
Kendall Qualls

Kendall Qualls

7% 24h
58%
Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth

61% 24h
34%
+ 6 more
$154.3KAUG 12, 2026
NV-02 Republican nominee?
David Flippo

David Flippo

2% 24h
100%
James Settelmeyer

James Settelmeyer

71% 24h
1%
+ 13 more
$34.2KJUN 10, 2026
FL-02 Republican nominee?
Keith Gross

Keith Gross

51% 24h
65%
Evan Power

Evan Power

15% 24h
27%
+ 6 more
$37.9KAUG 19, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Tom Begich

Tom Begich

0% 24h
23%
Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

8% 24h
23%
+ 14 more
$128.1KNOV 7, 2026
South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?
Toby Doeden

Toby Doeden

14% 24h
52%
Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden

18% 24h
48%
+ 1 more
$315.1KJUL 29, 2026
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)

Republican Party

13% 24h
53%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
39%
$42.7KNOV 7, 2026
Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?
Mandela Barnes

Mandela Barnes

4% 24h
60%
Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

21% 24h
34%
+ 9 more
$201.6KAUG 12, 2026
NY-12 Democratic nominee?
Micah Lasher

Micah Lasher

16% 24h
52%
Alex Bores

Alex Bores

5% 24h
40%
+ 18 more
$416.8KJUN 24, 2026
Maine Senate winner?

Democratic Party

9% 24h
58%

Republican Party

17% 24h
44%
$909.6KNOV 7, 2026
CA-40 primary: first place
Ken Calvert

Ken Calvert

87% 24h
99%
FH

Francis Hoffman

0% 24h
1%
+ 6 more
$4.3KJUN 6, 2026
Kansas Democratic Governor nominee?
Ethan Corson

Ethan Corson

6% 24h
53%
Cindy Holscher

Cindy Holscher

35% 24h
36%
+ 2 more
$26.8KAUG 5, 2026
Michigan Senate winner? (Person)
Abdul El-Sayed

Abdul El-Sayed

3% 24h
58%
Mike Rogers

Mike Rogers

21% 24h
33%
+ 2 more
$31.3KNOV 7, 2026
Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)
Alexi Giannoulias

Alexi Giannoulias

22% 24h
62%
Brandon Johnson

Brandon Johnson

0% 24h
11%
+ 5 more
$38.7KFEB 23, 2028
VA-07 Republican nominee?
Doug Ollivant

Doug Ollivant

0% 24h
89%
PH

Philip Harding

40% 24h
6%
+ 3 more
$53.8KAUG 5, 2026
Colorado Republican Governor nominee?
Victor Marx

Victor Marx

7% 24h
63%
Barbara Kirkmeyer

Barbara Kirkmeyer

11% 24h
31%
+ 5 more
$32.6KJUL 1, 2026
California Governor primary advancers? (Person)
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

1% 24h
100%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

8% 24h
97%
+ 13 more
$1.9MJUL 2, 2026
Maine Democratic Governor nominee?
Hannah Pingree

Hannah Pingree

0% 24h
67%
NS

Nirav Shah

10% 24h
21%
+ 8 more
$77.8KJUN 10, 2026
California Governor primary: 1st place
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

15% 24h
99%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

18% 24h
1%
+ 6 more
$874.6KJUN 2, 2026

Top Races

Ranked by highest total traded volume across markets in the event.
See all
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

0% 24h
22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

0% 24h
10%
+ 43 more
$116.7MNOV 7, 2028
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
32%
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
30%
+ 34 more
$40.2MNOV 7, 2028
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

0% 24h
18%
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

6% 24h
16%
+ 25 more
$36.3MNOV 7, 2028
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

1% 24h
89%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

4% 24h
10%
+ 23 more
$37.6MNOV 4, 2026
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Karen Bass

Karen Bass

2% 24h
66%
Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

20% 24h
35%
+ 8 more
$32.2MJUN 14, 2026
Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party

0% 24h
79%

Republican Party

0% 24h
23%
$13.9MNOV 7, 2026
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Republican Party

2% 24h
57%

Democratic Party

6% 24h
44%
$5.0MNOV 7, 2026
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

1% 24h
92%
James Fishback

James Fishback

6% 24h
8%
+ 7 more
$5.0MAUG 19, 2026
Texas Senate winner?

Republican Party

0% 24h
59%

Democratic Party

0% 24h
43%
$4.3MNOV 8, 2026
Maine Democratic Senate nominee?
Graham Platner

Graham Platner

3% 24h
100%
DC

David Costello

100% 24h
1%
+ 7 more
$3.9MJUN 10, 2026
California Governor primary advancers? (Person)
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

1% 24h
100%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

8% 24h
97%
+ 13 more
$1.9MJUL 2, 2026
2028 Democratic VP nominee
Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

0% 24h
10%
Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

0% 24h
8%
+ 43 more
$1.7MNOV 7, 2028
Alabama Republican Senate nominee?
Barry Moore

Barry Moore

1% 24h
81%
Jared Hudson

Jared Hudson

0% 24h
21%
+ 6 more
$1.2MJUN 17, 2026
2028 Republican VP nominee
Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

8% 24h
26%
J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

0% 24h
8%
+ 17 more
$920.7KNOV 7, 2028
Georgia Republican Governor nominee?
Burt Jones

Burt Jones

0% 24h
58%
Rick Jackson

Rick Jackson

30% 24h
42%
+ 4 more
$958.4KJUN 17, 2026
Maine Senate winner?

Democratic Party

9% 24h
58%

Republican Party

17% 24h
44%
$909.6KNOV 7, 2026
California Governor primary: 1st place
Xavier Becerra

Xavier Becerra

15% 24h
99%
Steve Hilton

Steve Hilton

18% 24h
1%
+ 6 more
$874.6KJUN 2, 2026
Los Angeles mayoral election: first round winner
Karen Bass

Karen Bass

3% 24h
99%
Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

10% 24h
1%
+ 3 more
$860.0KJUN 14, 2026
California Governor winner? (Party)

Democratic Party

2% 24h
91%

Republican Party

8% 24h
9%
$765.3KNOV 4, 2026
Louisiana Republican Senate nominee?
Julia Letlow

Julia Letlow

0% 24h
97%
John Fleming

John Fleming

0% 24h
6%
+ 6 more
$697.0KJUN 27, 2026

News

Boulder Daily Camera3 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
New York Post3 months ago

Democrats blew it, now two Republicans could snatch Governor race

Democrats blew it, now two Republicans could snatch Governor race
Naples Daily News3 months ago

Texas primary race not over yet, but Trump wants it to 'STOP NOW!'

Reading Eagle3 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
Newsweek3 months ago

Republicans Could Flip California in Nightmare Scenario for Democrats-Poll

Republicans Could Flip California in Nightmare Scenario for Democrats-Poll
Los Angeles Times3 months ago

Republicans top California's confounding race for governor, poll shows

Republicans top California's confounding race for governor, poll shows
San Diego Union-Tribune3 months ago

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight

Roy Cooper and Michael Whatley clinch North Carolina Senate nods, setting up high-stakes fall fight
New York Post3 months ago

Jon Stewart mocks selfish California Dems over crowded governor's race

Jon Stewart mocks selfish California Dems over crowded governor's race
USA TODAY3 months ago

Latest on Senate, House races

CBS News3 months ago

Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Eric Swalwell leading California governor's race, new polls show

Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Eric Swalwell leading California governor's race, new polls show
POLITICO3 months ago

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois
Santa Clarita Valley Signal3 months ago

Dan Walters | Gubernatorial Field Set; Now What?

Dan Walters | Gubernatorial Field Set; Now What?

Top Fundraisers

Jon Ossoff
Democrat
Jon Ossoff

Raised $60.4M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▲ 30.88% 24H9%
James Talarico
Democrat
James Talarico

Raised $40.3M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▼ 34.62% 24H2%
Mark Kelly
Democrat
Mark Kelly

Raised $35.3M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• 0% 24H3%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democrat
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Raised $27.7M in 2026

NY-14 Democratic nominee?
▼ 18.33% 24H10%
Roy Cooper
Democrat
Roy Cooper

Raised $26.8M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▼ 40% 24H0%
Bernie Sanders
Independent
Bernie Sanders

Raised $23.5M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
▲ 66.67% 24H1%
Cory Booker
Democrat
Cory Booker

Raised $17.6M in 2026

2028 Democratic presidential nominee
• 0% 24H1%
Mike Johnson
Republican
Mike Johnson

Raised $17.5M in 2026

FL-07 Republican nominee?
▲ 15900% 24H32%