$20.0K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Barlow’s nominee price fell from 27% a day ago to 18%, while recent coverage still centers on Degenfelder as the frontrunner. That makes the market move tradable for anyone watching whether the field is consolidating around one candidate or leaving room for a late challenge.
Harriet Hageman has raised $3,070,024.92 this cycle, while Megan Degenfelder leads the latest odds for the Wyoming Republican governor nomination.
Degenfelder’s nomination odds jumped from 72% a day ago to 94.6% now, putting her at a fresh high and widening the gap over the rest of the field. That kind of late repricing can matter for traders because it signals the market is consolidating around the frontrunner even as the GOP field remains active.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
C. GrayChuck GraySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
