$53.9M
NOV 7, 2028
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
AOC's Munich Security Conference appearance has become the biggest market-moving story, with her odds rising as speculation about a 2028 run grows. Newsom, Rubio, Pritzker, and Beshear also stayed visible in early candidate chatter, but none has made a formal announcement. The latest news appears to strengthen AOC's standing in Democratic nomination markets, while keeping Newsom, Rubio, Pritzker, and Beshear in the mix. Overall, it adds some movement but does not settle the race.
The New York Democratic representative's biggest outing on the global stage fuels the buzz over a potential 2028 presidential bid.
Far left New York Rep.
In today’s edition, Sahil Kapur and Scott Wong preview Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upcoming appearance at the Munich Security Conference.
The Democratic Party needs to prepare for the coming tech revolution.
The vice president’s realist impulses sit uneasily alongside reflexive hawkism.
At the same gathering of top security officials last year, Vice President JD Vance had attacked European allies, triggering a series of confrontations.
Potential 2028 presidential candidate, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear, has been accused of using the bible to defend his reasoning for vetoing legislation that would ban transgender treatments for children.
Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker said President Donald Trump and his administration need to be held accountable for their aggressive immigration enforcement actions — even if that accountability comes after Trump is scheduled to leave office in 2029.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom will speak about jobs, trade and climate change at a security conference in Munich, Germany.
A Democratic president, along with reversing Trump’s orders, may feel free to expand them in ways they’ll regret.
White House chief of staff
White House chief of staff endorsed Marco Rubio, saying he was "born for this."
Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra endorsed Gavin Newsom for California governor in November’s election.
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed endorsed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Michigan's Democratic Senate primary context
Justin J. Pearson
Justin J. Pearson endorsed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a Tennessee primary context
Adam Hamawy
Adam Hamawy endorsed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in New Jersey's 12th congressional district context
Chris Rabb
Chris Rabb endorsed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a Philadelphia congressional race context
Analilia Mejia
Analilia Mejia endorsed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a special House race context
Jasmine Crockett
Jasmine Crockett endorsed Kamala Harris in Texas' Democratic Senate primary.
Wilton Simpson
Wilton Simpson endorsed Ron DeSantis for re-election as agriculture commissioner.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Darline Graham for Lindsey Graham's open Senate seat.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Mike Lindell in Minnesota's governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Anthony DiLorenzo in New Hampshire's 1st District race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Zach Lahn in Iowa's governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed John James in Michigan's governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed both remaining Republican candidates in the South Carolina governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Anthony Constantino in New York's 21st Congressional District primary.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Mike Collins in the Georgia Senate runoff.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Colombian presidential candidate de la Espriella.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Tom Kean in New Jersey's Republican primary.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed South Carolina Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette in the South Carolina governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Randy Feenstra in Iowa's governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed David Flippo in Nevada's 2nd Congressional District race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Kansas Senate President Ty Masterson in the Kansas governor's race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Steve Hilton in California's governorship race.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Tennessee Republican Matt Van Epps in the Congressional District 7 GOP primary.
President Donald Trump
President Donald Trump endorsed Burt Jones in Georgia's governor's race.
Paige Cognetti
Paige Cognetti endorsed Josh Shapiro at a campaign event in Wyoming, Pennsylvania.
Pennsylvania Democratic Party
Pennsylvania Democratic Party endorsed Josh Shapiro and Austin Davis for reelection in 2026.
Bob Brooks
Bob Brooks endorsed Josh Shapiro in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District primary.
Phil Weiser
Phil Weiser endorsed Josh Shapiro as part of a joint gubernatorial endorsement announcement.
Michigan State University trustees Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay
Michigan State University trustees Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay endorsed Gretchen Whitmer for reelection.
Jewish Democratic Council of America (JDCA)
Jewish Democratic Council of America (JDCA) endorsed Gov. Wes Moore for reelection.
IAM Maryland and D.C. State Council of Machinists
IAM Maryland and D.C. State Council of Machinists endorsed Gov. Wes Moore and Lt. Gov. Aruna Miller for reelection.
Montgomery County Democratic candidates
Several Montgomery County Democratic candidates endorsed Gov. Wes Moore in the June 2026 primary cycle.
American Federation of Government Employees
American Federation of Government Employees endorsed Governor Wes Moore.
Maryland State Party
Maryland State Party backed Wes Moore in the 2026 election cycle endorsement rollout.
Congresswoman April McClain Delaney
Congresswoman April McClain Delaney endorsed Governor Wes Moore.
Maryland Republican leaders
Maryland Republican leaders endorsed Wes Moore for reelection as governor.
Lauren Boebert
Lauren Boebert endorsed Thomas Massie in the 2026 Kentucky Republican primary.
Rand Paul
Rand Paul pledged support for Thomas Massie amid a Trump-backed primary challenge.
National Right to Life Committee
National Right to Life Committee endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Ohio Fraternal Order of Police
Ohio Fraternal Order of Police endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor as part of its 2026 statewide endorsements.
Ohio Manufacturers' Association PAC
Ohio Manufacturers' Association PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC
Ohio Chamber of Commerce PAC endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
Ohio Conference of Teamsters
Ohio Conference of Teamsters endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
Ohio Conference within the International Brotherhood of Teamsters
The Ohio Conference within the International Brotherhood of Teamsters endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for Ohio governor.
Ohio State Building and Construction Trades Council
Ohio State Building and Construction Trades Council endorsed Vivek Ramaswamy for governor.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
