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Who will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Race?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 151 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

$89.7K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$89.7K

24h volume

$126

M. Peltola61%

D. Sullivan40%

A. Diener0%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Alaska 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Alaska 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

13d

Dan Sullivan has raised $6,500,847 this cycle, while Mary Peltola holds the lead in the latest odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person).

43%

News

AINews Summary

U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan and U.S. Rep. Nick Begich had millions of dollars each in their campaign accounts heading into the election year.

Articles

ADAnchorage Daily News4 months ago

Republican incumbents maintain fundraising leads in Alaska’s congressional races

U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan and U.S. Rep. Nick Begich had millions of dollars each in their campaign accounts heading into the election year.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

48.1%

45.1%

M. Peltola

D. Sullivan

S. Hill

A. Diener

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Peltola	Sullivan	Hill	Diener
Polling Average	Peltola+3.0	48.1%	45.1%	3.2%	2.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchMay 14 - 17	Peltola+4.6	48.4%	43.8%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19	Peltola+6.6	49.1%	42.5%	3.2%	–
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19	Peltola+6.6	50.2%	43.6%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22	Peltola+5.3	48.8%	43.5%	–	2.4%
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22	Peltola+6.6	50.4%	43.8%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchMar 19 - 22	Peltola+4.8	52.4%	47.6%	–	–
Public Policy PollingJan 16 - 17	Peltola+2.0	49.0%	47.0%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchJan 8 - 11	Peltola+1.6	48.0%	46.4%	–	–
Data for ProgressOct 17 - 23	Peltola+1.0	46.0%	45.0%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 15	Peltola+1.8	47.7%	45.9%	–	–
Alaska Survey ResearchJul 29 - Aug 1	Sullivan+4.2	42.5%	46.7%	–	–
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27	Sullivan+1.0	45.0%	46.0%	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

D. Sullivan

M. Peltola

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. SullivanDan Sullivan

$6.50MContrib: $3.99M

$7.09MSpent: $1.51M

$100.4KLast period: $1.14M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

M. PeltolaMary Peltola

$152.3KContrib: $76.8K

$3.5KSpent: $232.8K

$16.6KLast period: -$1.9K

TERMINATION REPORT · Feb 13, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Race?

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

News

Republican incumbents maintain fundraising leads in Alaska’s congressional races

Polls

Fundraising

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Republican incumbents maintain fundraising leads in Alaska’s congressional races

Polls

Fundraising

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