Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.4%
45.3%
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$72.0K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Outside groups are already signaling major investment in Alaska: the Senate Leadership Fund plans $15 million to defend the seat for Republicans. At the same time, multiple analyses frame Alaska as a potential GOP vulnerability tied to Trump’s weak standing with independents and low approval scenarios. Overall coverage points to a contested environment, but with Republicans preparing to spend heavily. Planned outside spending may support the Republican hold, but the recent Trump-focused vulnerability narratives could add uncertainty and modestly improve perceived Democratic chances if they resonate.
Henry Olsen, who correctly predicted Trump would win the popular vote, is warning Republicans safe Senate seats may be at risk.
A mix of voter frustration over the cost of living and political fallout from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has put Democrats within striking distance of a potential Senate comeback, though significant hurdles remain.
WASHINGTON – As President Donald Trump doubled down on his controversial choice of Casey Means for surgeon general, her nomination has emerged as an issue in Louisiana’s increasingly bitter Republican
Donald Trump has led us to chaos — war with Iran, spiking gas prices, unstable markets — that may lose him the Republican party and the nation.
Maine’s U.S. Senate race is expected to be among the most competitive of the 2026 midterm elections.
U.S. Sen. Dan Sullivan and U.S. Rep. Nick Begich had millions of dollars each in their campaign accounts heading into the election year.
Which head of state is exchanging notes with the MAGA king? The Swamp, our must-read guide to D.C. has the answer.
Get live updates and the latest news on the Trump administration as voters go to the polls in Georgia and Wisconsin and JD Vance meets with Hungary's Viktor Orbán.
Catholics represent a sizeable share of the voting population across many of this year's key battlegrounds.
The Trump administration has asked states to hander over their voter info. Many are fighting back.
D. SullivanDan SullivanM. PeltolaMary PeltolaNew updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.