Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
44.5%
39%
L. Graham
A. Andrews
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$65.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$65.3K
24h volume
$6.7K
source: Kalshi
Paul Dans dropped out of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary and endorsed Mark Lynch. Trump criticized Dans and other challengers and again backed incumbent Lindsey Graham, who is described as the leading candidate in the GOP field. The Republican primary remains divided heading into the June ballot. Dans exiting may reduce anti-Graham vote-splitting and could slightly lower uncertainty around the GOP nominee. With Trump reiterating support for Graham, the market may lean toward a more stable Republican outlook, though the primary remains contested.
By Steve Contorno, CNN (CNN) — Paul Dans, the architect of the controversial conservative blueprint known as Project 2025, has ended his bid to challenge South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham in the Republican primary this summer. Dans announced his decision to drop out of the race Friday — the last day to remove his name
President Donald Trump went on the offensive in his support of Sen. Lindsey Graham's reelection bid with attacks against his key challengers
Rep. Ralph Norman expresses confidence in his gubernatorial bid, criticizes Democrats, and outlines conservative priorities ahead of South Carolina’s competitive Republican primary.
Jocelyn Benson’s journey to the Michigan governor’s race began with Viola Liuzzo, a mother from Detroit who set out for Selma in March of 1965 to join the fight for voting rights.
Candidates and political groups are pouring money into Texas’ hotly contested U.S. Senate race at a record pace. It's largely because of Democrat James Talarico's fundraising and efforts by allies of Republican incumbent John Cornyn to save his long career.
The Texas Republican is facing calls from fellow House Republicans to resign, following allegations of an affair with a staffer who later died by suicide.
In a heartwarming display of family that perfectly embodies conservative values, Republican Senate candidate Paul Dans and his wife, renowned ballerina and fitness entrepreneur Mary Helen Bowers, have welcomed their fifth child, as he continues to meet with voters across South Carolina in his primary challenge to warmongering Senator Lindsey Graham.
If a decision gutting the Voting Rights Act comes down soon, we could see a big wave of Republican gerrymanders before the election.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.