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Who will win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican Primary?

Jul 29, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 29 daysLast updated: Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

$944.1K

JUL 29, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$944.1K

24h volume

$6.2K

T. Doeden59%

L. Rhoden42%

J. Hansen0%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

July

TUE 28

South Dakota 2026 primary runoff, if required

November

TUE 3

South Dakota 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Dan Ahlers has entered the South Dakota governor race and plans a formal launch in Sioux Falls. He brings prior legislative experience and a past Senate nomination. On the Republican side, four candidates are already in the race, including Gov. Larry Rhoden and Rep. Dusty Johnson. The new Democratic entry adds a named challenger, but the Republican field is already established. The GOP nomination market likely remains focused on the declared Republican candidates, with little immediate change from this news.

Articles

ANAberdeen News5 months ago

Democrat Dan Ahlers says he'll run for South Dakota governor

Dan Ahlers joins Anthony Sitter of Aberdeen, both running as Democrats, and Aberdeen businessman Toby Doeden, Republican, and others running for Gov.

Polls

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

28.6%

27.1%

18.4%

13.1%

D. Johnson

L. Rhoden

T. Doeden

J. Hansen

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Johnson	Rhoden	Doeden	Hansen
Polling Average	Johnson+1.5	28.6%	27.1%	18.4%	13.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27	Rhoden+6.2	26.4%	32.6%	23.6%	14.1%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 26 - 27	Rhoden+5.2	27.2%	32.4%	24.0%	13.2%
Meeting Street InsightsMay 18 - 20	Rhoden+1.0	19.0%	23.0%	22.0%	21.0%
Emerson CollegeMay 18 - 19	Doeden+3.0	23.3%	19.0%	26.3%	16.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 7 - 11	Johnson+16.2	34.0%	17.0%	17.4%	17.8%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9	Johnson+10.5	28.1%	16.6%	17.6%	13.6%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5	Johnson+5.0	33.0%	28.0%	16.0%	10.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 2 - 5	Rhoden+9.0	39.0%	48.0%	–	–
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyOct 16 - 20	Johnson+1.0	28.0%	27.0%	15.0%	10.0%
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyApr 9 - 11	Johnson+1.0	28.0%	27.0%	4.0%	2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Jon Hansen

Charles and Heather Maude

Charles and Heather Maude endorsed Jon Hansen for governor.

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Spencer Gosch

Spencer Gosch endorsed Jon Hansen for governor.

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Tony Kaiser

Tony Kaiser endorsed Jon Hansen for governor.

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Mykala Voita

Mykala Voita endorsed Jon Hansen for governor.

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American Principles Project PAC

American Principles Project PAC endorsed Jon Hansen for governor of South Dakota.

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Amanda Radke

Amanda Radke endorsed Jon Hansen for governor.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

May 13, 2026

$5M

$3.8M

$2.5M

$1.3M

D. Johnson

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

D. JohnsonDusty Johnson

$1.69MContrib: $1.14M

$2.59MSpent: $4.34M

$255.5KLast period: $0

PRE-PRIMARY · May 13, 2026

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican Primary?

South Dakota Republican Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Democrat Dan Ahlers says he'll run for South Dakota governor

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

South Dakota Senate winner?

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Upcoming Events

News

Democrat Dan Ahlers says he'll run for South Dakota governor

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

South Dakota Senate winner?

South Dakota Governor winner?

SD-AL House winner?

South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)