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Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 63 daysLast updated: Jun 10, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

$167.2K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$167.2K

24h volume

$117

K. Qualls58%

L. Demuth34%

M. Lindell12%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Minnesota 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Minnesota 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

19h

Donald Trump backed Mike Lindell for Minnesota Republican governor nominee, and Lindell is currently at 12%.

12%

News

AINews Summary

The biggest development is Scott Jensen’s exit from the GOP primary. Jeff Johnson has also suspended his campaign after a family tragedy. With Chris Madel already out, Kristin Robbins and Phillip Parrish are now the main remaining contenders. The field has narrowed, which likely boosts the remaining candidates’ chances. Johnson’s suspension adds more uncertainty, but the latest exits appear to help Robbins and Parrish most.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

Minnesota GOP gubernatorial primary narrows further after Jensen drops bid

Jensen is the second GOP candidate to drop out of the governor's race in Minnesota after Republican attorney Chris Madel ended his campaign last month.

NNewsmax4 months ago

Daughter of Minn. GOP Gov. Candidate Johnson Dies; Husband Suspected

Authorities said Hallie Marie Tobler, 22, was found with fatal injuries, while her husband, Dylan Tobler, 23, was hospitalized with wounds believed to be self-inflicted.

NNewsweek4 months ago

Republicans’ Chances of Beating Amy Klobuchar to Flip Minnesota-Poll

A new poll showed how Republican candidates fare against Klobuchar in Minnesota's gubernatorial race.

CNCable News Network3 months ago

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

After President Donald Trump’s unexpectedly competitive showings in big blue states around the country, Republicans emerged from the 2024 election expressing optimism about their prospects in places that Democrats have dominated for years. But as the midterm election approaches, those prospects have dwindled.

Polls

Polling Average

25%20%15%10%5%0%

19.6%

18.2%

12%

9.9%

M. Lindell

L. Demuth

S. Jensen

K. Qualls

K. Robbins

B. Kohler

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Lindell	Demuth	Jensen	Qualls	Robbins	Kohler
Polling Average	Lindell+1.4	19.6%	18.2%	12.0%	9.9%	3.0%	1.0%
Big Data PollMay 18 - 20	Lindell+1.9	21.3%	19.4%	–	8.8%	–	–
Peak InsightsJan 31 - Feb 1	Lindell+1.0	18.0%	17.0%	12.0%	11.0%	3.0%	1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Lisa Demuth

Minnesota Republican Party

Minnesota Republican Party endorsed Lisa Demuth for governor at the state convention.

Learn more

Mike Lindell

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Mike Lindell for governor of Minnesota.

Learn more

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Feb 14, 2025

$1M

$750K

$500K

$250K

K. Qualls

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

K. QuallsKendall Qualls

$0Contrib: $0

$0Spent: $11.3K

$5.6KLast period: $0

TERMINATION REPORT · Feb 14, 2025

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican Primary?

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

News

Minnesota GOP gubernatorial primary narrows further after Jensen drops bid

Daughter of Minn. GOP Gov. Candidate Johnson Dies; Husband Suspected

Republicans’ Chances of Beating Amy Klobuchar to Flip Minnesota-Poll

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Minnesota Republican Governor nominee?

News

Minnesota GOP gubernatorial primary narrows further after Jensen drops bid

Daughter of Minn. GOP Gov. Candidate Johnson Dies; Husband Suspected

Republicans’ Chances of Beating Amy Klobuchar to Flip Minnesota-Poll

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

Minnesota Democratic Governor nominee?

Minnesota Governor winner?

Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee?

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?