$859.4K
AUG 5, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Fresh AP coverage of the May 28 Michigan Democratic Senate debate keeps El-Sayed in the spotlight, and his contract is still repricing near a 71% win probability. That matters because the race remains active enough for traders to monitor whether debate-driven attention extends his lead or narrows it again.
Mallory McMorrow has raised $8,624,066 this cycle, but Abdul El-Sayed leads the latest odds for the Michigan Democratic Senate nominee race.
Stevens’s odds moved up 3 points in the last hour to 17% as fresh reporting centers the race on Thursday’s Democratic debate at the state party conference. That keeps the Michigan primary live for traders because the field is still repricing around a new public test, even though Abdul El-Sayed remains the favorite.
Michigan’s Democratic Senate nomination remains undecided, with Stevens, McMorrow, and El-Sayed still viewed as the main contenders. The race is being described as potentially competitive in a closely divided state. Recent coverage also notes that the Iran conflict could complicate campaigning for House members like Haley Stevens. The Democratic nomination market still looks open, with no clear new shift in the summaries. Coverage of Stevens’ foreign-policy scrutiny could slightly affect her standing, but the overall effect is unclear.
Political experts predict Democrats have an early advantage as low presidential approval ratings and a divided electorate shape the contest for the vacant Senate seat — but it may not take much to change the momentum.
The bills, to be introduced Tuesday, seek to make law that Congress members can buy or lease only American, union-made vehicles..
Midterm elections 2026 present high hurdles for Republicans defending Senate control amid inflation concerns and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings.
WASHINGTON — House members eagerly hoping for a spot across the Capitol in the Senate are now facing an unexpected variable in their campaign calculus: the conflict in Iran. If the war drags on, it will become a delicate issue that both Republican and Democratic candidates will need to balance, albeit for different reasons. Their first test came Thursday, when the House adopted a GOP ...
After years of being gaslighted by some of the most dishonest people in government and the media, The Gateway Pundit, along with some of the most respected election investigators in the state, are looking forward to blowing the lid off the lies about Detroit’s “secure” 2020 election that helped to give Joe Biden with an inexplicable victory in the must-win state of Michigan.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
H. StevensHaley Stevens
M. McMorrowMallory McMorrowA. El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed
K. RivetKristen McDonald Rivet
R. TlaibRashida Tlaib
A. LevinAndy LevinSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
