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Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 12, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 64 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

$252.4K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$252.4K

24h volume

$9.3K

M. Barnes52%

F. Hong36%

S. Rodriguez10%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 11

Wisconsin 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Wisconsin 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Francesca Hong is now the front-runner at 48%, with a 10-point lead over the prior leader.

48%

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Hong’s contract is up to 45% after a sharp 1-day climb, and fresh reporting still describes a crowded Democratic field with Hong among the leading contenders. That makes her one of the main prices to watch as the primary approaches.

45%10%

News

AINews Summary

Sara Rodriguez has clarified her position on ICE cooperation after drawing criticism from other Democrats. The dispute has put immigration enforcement in focus in the Wisconsin governor race. Separately, DNC Chair Ken Martin is emphasizing long-term organizing, though party finances remain weaker than Republicans. Rodriguez’s clarification may reduce some intraparty pressure, but the immigration debate adds uncertainty around the field. The DNC strategy news is broader context and does not clearly shift the nomination race.

Articles

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 months ago

Sara Rodriguez lays out plan for a public option in health care

Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez laid out her plan to implement a public health insurance option and a "health care bill of rights" if elected governor.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette4 months ago

Dem governor candidate Rodriguez says she 'misspoke' about aiding ICE

Wisconsin governor candidate Sara Rodriguez walked back earlier comments on cooperation with ICE following criticism from other Democrats.

GBGreen Bay Press-Gazette5 months ago

Wisconsin primary election is Feb. 17; how to register, vote early

Get ready for the first election of the year, Wisconsin. Here's what to know about candidates, absentee ballots and more for the Feb. 17 election.

NNewsweek4 months ago

Inside DNC Chair Ken Martin’s Plan To Turn Democratic Momentum Into Power

A year into Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin's reign, he's betting on organizing and infrastructure—not insiders—to turn momentum into power.

Polls

Polling Average

25%20%15%10%5%0%

18.9%

11.0%

9.0%

7.5%

6.0%

M. Barnes

F. Hong

S. Rodriguez

J. Kaul

D. Crowley

K. Roys

J. Brennan

M. Hughes

B. Wikler

B. Hulsey

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Barnes	Hong	Rodriguez	Kaul	Crowley	Roys	Brennan	Hughes	Wikler	Hulsey
Polling Average	Barnes+8.0	18.9%	11.0%	9.0%	7.5%	6.0%	2.3%	1.5%	1.2%	1.0%	0.4%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+13.0	23.4%	7.3%	10.4%	–	8.2%	3.3%	1.7%	0.2%	–	0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15	Barnes+11.8	24.1%	8.5%	12.3%	–	8.0%	3.9%	1.6%	0.2%	–	0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18	Hong+3.0	11.0%	14.0%	3.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	1.0%	–	0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16	Hong+9.0	18.0%	27.0%	6.0%	–	6.0%	–	–	–	–	–
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19	Hong+1.0	10.0%	11.0%	6.0%	–	3.0%	1.0%	2.0%	2.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12	Barnes+8.0	28.0%	5.0%	20.0%	–	7.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%	–	1.0%
TIPP InsightsNov 17 - 21	Barnes+13.0	21.0%	–	6.0%	8.0%	6.0%	1.0%	–	2.0%	–	–
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30	Barnes+8.0	16.0%	4.0%	8.0%	7.0%	7.0%	4.0%	–	2.0%	1.0%	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Sara Rodriguez lays out plan for a public option in health care

Dem governor candidate Rodriguez says she 'misspoke' about aiding ICE

Wisconsin primary election is Feb. 17; how to register, vote early

Inside DNC Chair Ken Martin’s Plan To Turn Democratic Momentum Into Power

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Sara Rodriguez lays out plan for a public option in health care

Dem governor candidate Rodriguez says she 'misspoke' about aiding ICE

Wisconsin primary election is Feb. 17; how to register, vote early

Inside DNC Chair Ken Martin’s Plan To Turn Democratic Momentum Into Power

Polls

Related races

Wisconsin Governor winner?

WI-06 House winner?

WI-06 Democratic nominee?

Wisconsin Republican Governor nominee?