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Who will win the 2026 Alabama District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

Aug 12, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 16 daysLast updated: Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC

AL-01 Republican nominee?

$46.2K

AUG 12, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$46.2K

24h volume

J. Carl96%

R. Marques8%

J. Richardson5%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

Alabama 2026 general election

Polls

Polling Average

40%30%20%10%0%

28.0%

13.5%

5.6%

J. Carl

R. Marques

J. McKee

A. Sidwell

J. Dees

J. Richardson

J. Mills

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Carl	Marques	McKee	Sidwell	Dees	Richardson	Mills
Polling Average	Carl+14.5	28.0%	13.5%	5.6%	2.5%	1.5%	0.5%	0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22	Marques+2.0	20.0%	22.0%	6.0%	4.0%	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
PI PollingMar 31 - Apr 2	Carl+4.0	23.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–	–
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8	Carl+9.0	28.0%	19.0%	9.0%	–	–	–	–
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2	Carl+36.0	43.0%	7.0%	2.0%	1.0%	2.0%	0.0%	1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23	Carl+16.0	25.2%	9.2%	8.8%	–	–	–	–
CygnalAug 21 - 22	Carl+24.0	29.0%	5.0%	2.0%	–	–	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Jerry Carl

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Jerry Carl for Alabama's 1st Congressional District special primary.

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NRA

NRA endorsed Jerry Carl's bid to return to Congress.

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Tim Burchett

Tim Burchett backed Jerry Carl in Alabama's 1st Congressional District race.

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GUMBO

GUMBO endorsed Jerry Carl in Alabama's 1st Congressional District race.

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Alabama Peanut Producers Association

Alabama Peanut Producers Association endorsed Jerry Carl.

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Alabama Cotton Commission

Alabama Cotton Commission endorsed Jerry Carl.

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Manufacture Alabama

Manufacture Alabama endorsed Jerry Carl for Alabama's 1st Congressional District.

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Katie Britt

Katie Britt endorsed Jerry Carl.

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Electric Cooperatives of Alabama

Electric Cooperatives of Alabama endorsed Jerry Carl for Congressional District 1.

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House Speaker Mike Johnson

House Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed Jerry Carl for Congressional District 1.

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Petroleum and Convenience Marketers

Petroleum and Convenience Marketers endorsed Jerry Carl.

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Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, Tom Emmer, and Lisa McClain

Mike Johnson, Steve Scalise, Tom Emmer, and Lisa McClain endorsed Jerry Carl.

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Alabama Farmers Federation (ALFA)

Alabama Farmers Federation (ALFA) endorsed Jerry Carl in the Republican primary for Congressional District 1.

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Rhett Marques

Donald Trump

Donald Trump endorsed Rhett Marques in Alabama's special Republican congressional primary.

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Alabama Grocers Association

Alabama Grocers Association endorsed Rhett Marques.

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Electric Cooperatives of Alabama PAC

Electric Cooperatives of Alabama PAC endorsed Rhett Marques for Congress.

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Home Builders Association of Alabama

Home Builders Association of Alabama endorsed Rhett Marques for Congressional District 2.

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Alabama Farmers Federation (ALFA)

Alabama Farmers Federation (ALFA) endorsed Rhett Marques for Alabama Congressional District 2.

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Alabama Forestry Association

Alabama Forestry Association endorsed Rhett Marques for Alabama's 2nd Congressional District.

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Will Ainsworth

Will Ainsworth endorsed Rhett Marques for Congress.

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Manufacture Alabama

Manufacture Alabama endorsed Rhett Marques for Alabama's 1st Congressional District.

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Nathaniel Ledbetter

Nathaniel Ledbetter endorsed Rhett Marques for U.S. Congress.

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Alabama House Republican Caucus

Thirty-one Alabama House Republican Caucus members endorsed Rhett Marques for U.S. Congress.

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Katie Britt

Katie Britt endorsed Rhett Marques in the District 1 race.

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James Richardson

Katie Britt

Katie Britt endorsed James Richardson for Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary.

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Austin Sidwell

Steve Scalise

Steve Scalise endorsed Austin Sidwell.

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Fort Morgan Political Action Committee

Fort Morgan Political Action Committee endorsed Austin Sidwell.

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Katie Britt

Katie Britt endorsed Austin Sidwell.

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Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Jun 30, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

R. Marques

J. Carl

J. McKee

A. Sidwell

J. Mills

J. Richardson

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

R. MarquesRhett Marques

$1.30MContrib: $1.30M

$449.4KSpent: $850.7K

$47.3KLast period: $167.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. CarlJerry Carl

$1.07MContrib: $881.5K

$438.4KSpent: $696.8K

$38.7KLast period: $206.5K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. McKeeJoshua McKee

$520.7KContrib: $285.0K

$14.2KSpent: $506.5K

$28.1KLast period: -$55.5K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

A. SidwellAustin Sidwell

$190.2KContrib: $66.1K

$9.6KSpent: $180.7K

$10.0KLast period: $14.8K

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. MillsJohn Mills

$14.2KContrib: $1.7K

$1.0KSpent: $15.2K

$844Last period: $0

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

J. RichardsonJames Richardson

$7.3KContrib: $7.3K

$27Spent: $7.2K

$403Last period: $355

JULY QUARTERLY · Jun 30, 2026

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

News

Who will win the 2026 Alabama District 1 US House Republican Primary first round?

AL-01 Republican nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

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