Discovery Insights Elections Candidates Calendar Watchlist

ActivePrimary ElectionRepublican

Who will win the 2026 Florida District 19 US House Republican Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 3:59am UTC, in 50 daysLast updated: Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

FL-19 Republican nominee?

$21.9K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

Claim Offer$50TradeBonus

Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket

OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$21.9K

24h volume

$271

C. Lauf45%

J. Schwartzel29%

J. Oberweis26%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Florida 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Byron Donalds' move to run for governor has opened up Florida's 19th District and triggered a crowded Republican primary. Several candidates are in the mix, and the race is still described as having no clear frontrunner. The district is expected to be decided in the GOP primary. The open seat and crowded field likely increase uncertainty in the nominee market. With no clear frontrunner, odds may stay spread across several candidates.

Articles

NNews-Press4 months ago

Who is running for Byron Donalds Florida 19 seat?

Who’s running for Florida’s 19th Congressional District after Byron Donalds? Here’s who leads in fundraising and where the race stands.

Polls

Polling Average

12%10%8%6%4%2%0%

9.0%

7.3%

5.8%

5.7%

J. Oberweis

J. Schwartzel

C. Collins

M. Cawthorn

C. Lauf

O. Hawatmeh

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Oberweis	Schwartzel	Collins	Cawthorn	Lauf	Hawatmeh
Polling Average	Oberweis+1.7	9.0%	7.3%	5.8%	5.7%	4.9%	0.0%
Victory InsightsJun 20 - 21	Schwartzel+0.9	11.9%	12.8%	3.4%	5.2%	4.9%	0.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6	Collins+1.0	8.0%	5.0%	9.0%	8.0%	–	–
InquireOct 4 - 6	Oberweis+2.0	7.0%	4.0%	5.0%	4.0%	–	–