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Who will win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 5, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 57 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

$49.9K

AUG 5, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$49.9K

24h volume

$580

J. Benson92%

C. Swanson8%

M. Hackel1%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 4

Michigan 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

13d

Mallory McMorrow has raised $8,624,066 this cycle, but Jocelyn Benson holds the lead in the latest odds for Michigan Democratic Governor nominee.

News

AINews Summary

Recent coverage is centered on Michigan’s 2026 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, highlighting Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed as the leading contenders and emphasizing affordability-focused messaging. El-Sayed, who previously ran for Michigan governor, is receiving specific attention over criticism that he changed his stance on Medicare for All, an accusation his campaign disputes. Overall, the news underscores these candidates’ prominence and issue positioning within Michigan Democratic politics. These stories are more directly about the 2026 U.S. Senate primary than the governor nomination, so their effect on the gubernatorial market is indirect and somewhat unclear. Still, heightened scrutiny or perceived weakness around El-Sayed’s policy consistency could slightly dampen his perceived strength as a future gubernatorial contender, while strong visibility for any of these figures could n/

Articles

FNFox News3 months ago

Blue-state Democrat on fast track to Senate defies Schumer

Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton wins Democratic Senate nomination after defeating Reps. Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly, declaring she won't support Sen. Chuck Schumer as leader.

MLM Live Michigan 3 months ago

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Political experts predict Democrats have an early advantage as low presidential approval ratings and a divided electorate shape the contest for the vacant Senate seat — but it may not take much to change the momentum.

FNFox News3 months ago

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

Midterm elections 2026 present high hurdles for Republicans defending Senate control amid inflation concerns and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings.

FNFox News4 months ago

Bernie Sanders-backed Senate hopeful accused of flip-flopping on Medicare for All stance

Michigan Democratic Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed faces criticism from a primary rival who says he’s softened past support for eliminating private insurance.

NNewsmax4 months ago

In Mich., 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in Senate Primary

Now Democrats are trying to harness those same concerns, which have lingered as people across the country lose confidence in the Republican president's ability to ease the cost of living.

MLM Live Michigan 4 months ago

Battleground Michigan: 3 Democrats in U.S. Senate primary test vision of affordability

Voters are worried about the cost of living, and affordability. The candidates are making pitches about how to address rising costs, and their success will be a factor in the November midterms.

UNU.S. News & World Report4 months ago

In Battleground Michigan, 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in the Senate Primary

SAGINAW, Mich. (AP) — When Donald Trump fought his way back to the White House in 2024, he capitalized on simmering economic discontent in political battlegrounds such as Michigan. Now Democrats are trying to harness those same concerns, which have lingered as people across the country lose confidence in the Republican president's ability to ease the cost of living.

TGThe Gateway Pundit5 months ago

NOT NORMAL: Over 10K Detroit "Voters" Made Same Bizarre "Ghost Vote" Marks On Ballots In 2020 Election---Were Mismarked Ballots Sending A Message To Voting Machines or Meant to Trigger "Adjudication"?

After years of being gaslighted by some of the most dishonest people in government and the media, The Gateway Pundit, along with some of the most respected election investigators in the state, are looking forward to blowing the lid off the lies about Detroit’s “secure” 2020 election that helped to give Joe Biden with an inexplicable victory in the must-win state of Michigan.

Polls

Polling Average

80%60%40%20%0%

55.8%

12.7%

6.5%

J. Benson

G. Gilchrist

C. Swanson

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Benson	Gilchrist	Swanson
Polling Average	Benson+43.1	55.8%	12.7%	6.5%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+54.0	62.0%	–	8.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 17 - 19	Benson+57.9	66.0%	–	8.1%
Emerson CollegeApr 11 - 13	Benson+47.1	51.7%	–	4.6%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsNov 18 - 21	Benson+36.0	48.0%	12.0%	5.0%
Rosetta Stone CommunicationsOct 23 - 25	Benson+43.0	58.0%	15.0%	6.0%
Impact ResearchSep 30 - Oct 6	Benson+39.0	56.0%	17.0%	5.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Benson+51.2	59.3%	6.9%	8.1%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Benson+33.0	46.0%	13.0%	11.0%
Target InsyghtMar 3 - 6	Benson+43.0	55.0%	12.0%	3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$10M

$7.5M

$5M

$2.5M

M. McMorrow

J. Tate

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

M. McMorrowMallory McMorrow

$8.62MContrib: $8.53M

$3.69MSpent: $4.93M

$328.8KLast period: $2.96M

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

J. TateJoe Tate

$243.6KContrib: $228.3K

$0Spent: $243.6K

$27.1KLast period: $30.4K

TERMINATION REPORT · Sep 30, 2025

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements

Who will win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic Primary?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Blue-state Democrat on fast track to Senate defies Schumer

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

Bernie Sanders-backed Senate hopeful accused of flip-flopping on Medicare for All stance

In Mich., 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in Senate Primary

Battleground Michigan: 3 Democrats in U.S. Senate primary test vision of affordability

In Battleground Michigan, 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in the Senate Primary

NOT NORMAL: Over 10K Detroit "Voters" Made Same Bizarre "Ghost Vote" Marks On Ballots In 2020 Election---Were Mismarked Ballots Sending A Message To Voting Machines or Meant to Trigger "Adjudication"?

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Senate winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

News

Blue-state Democrat on fast track to Senate defies Schumer

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Republicans optimistic about Senate gains despite midterm headwinds

Bernie Sanders-backed Senate hopeful accused of flip-flopping on Medicare for All stance

In Mich., 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in Senate Primary

Battleground Michigan: 3 Democrats in U.S. Senate primary test vision of affordability

In Battleground Michigan, 3 Democrats Test Vision of Affordability in the Senate Primary

NOT NORMAL: Over 10K Detroit "Voters" Made Same Bizarre "Ghost Vote" Marks On Ballots In 2020 Election---Were Mismarked Ballots Sending A Message To Voting Machines or Meant to Trigger "Adjudication"?

Polls

Fundraising

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Senate winner?