


Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
Jocelyn Benson is being framed as the Democratic front-runner for Michigan governor in 2026. Polling signals are mixed: one public poll shows a three-way tie with Republican John James and independent Mike Duggan, while Benson’s campaign points to an internal poll showing her leading. A separate proposal would move Michigan primaries starting in 2028, not this cycle. Front-runner coverage and mixed polling may keep Benson favored but with meaningful uncertainty. With no major new nominee-field changes reported, odds may move mainly on polling and momentum signals.



M. McMorrowMallory McMorrow
J. TateJoe TateNew updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.