
2026 Montana Elections & races
Track Montana election odds, candidates, polls, key dates, market volume and race movement across the 2026 races on Prediction Edge.
Overview
Montana's 2026 cycle is headlined by an open US Senate race: Sen. Steve Daines withdrew from his re-election bid in March, and the June 2 open primary set the major-party matchup between Kurt Alme (R) and Alani Bankhead (D), with independent Seth Bodnar's bid pending signature certification. Both US House seats are also up, with MT-01 open after Rep. Ryan Zinke declined to run again, alongside one Montana Supreme Court seat, Public Service Commission and legislative races. The governorship is not on the ballot until 2028. This Prediction Edge hub connects live market odds with candidate pages, polling context, official dates and market-moving updates.
2026 Montana Election Snapshot
Key Montana Races to Watch in 2026
Montana US Senate Races 2026
Sen. Steve Daines withdrew from his re-election bid in March 2026, leaving Montana's Class 2 seat open. Kurt Alme (R) and Alani Bankhead (D) won the June 2 primaries; independent Seth Bodnar's ballot bid awaits signature certification.
Montana US House Races 2026
Both Montana seats are on the 2026 ballot. MT-01 is open after Rep. Ryan Zinke declined to run again, pairing Aaron Flint (R) with Sam Forstag (D); in MT-02, Rep. Troy Downing (R) seeks a second term against Brian Miller (D).
2026 Montana Elections Calendar
- Montana 2026 primary
- Montana 2026 general election
Montana Candidates Running in 2026
Explore candidate pages for Montana's major 2026 races — odds, polling, fundraising, endorsements and news.
Montana Polls, Odds Movement & Market Signals
See all
| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Alme | Neill | Bodnar | Bankhead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Alme+15.8 | 48.8% | 33.0% | 31.3% | 30.3% |
GrayhouseJun 23 - 24 | Alme+16.0 | 41.0% | – | 17.0% | 25.0% |
Hart Research AssociatesJun 18 - 24 | Alme+22.0 | 47.0% | – | 25.0% | 22.0% |
Hart Research AssociatesJun 18 - 24 | Alme+2.0 | 47.0% | – | 45.0% | – |
Hart Research AssociatesJun 18 - 24 | Alme+6.0 | 49.0% | – | – | 43.0% |
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19 | Alme+22.0 | 49.0% | – | 25.0% | 27.0% |
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19 | Alme+23.0 | 49.0% | – | 24.0% | 26.0% |
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19 | Alme+0.0 | 50.0% | – | 50.0% | – |
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19 | Alme+12.0 | 56.0% | – | – | 44.0% |
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 8 - 11 | Alme+19.0 | 44.0% | – | 20.0% | 25.0% |
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18 | Alme+20.0 | 46.0% | 24.0% | 26.0% | – |
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18 | Alme+0.0 | 50.0% | – | 50.0% | – |
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18 | Alme+16.0 | 58.0% | 42.0% | – | – |


