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Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Democratic Primary?

Aug 19, 2026, 6:59am GMT+3, in 71 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

$20.5K

AUG 19, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$20.5K

24h volume

D. Jolly94%

D. Cava2%

A. Nixon2%

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source: Kalshi

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August

TUE 18

Florida 2026 primary

November

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Florida 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

16d

Demings’ yes price rose to 0.19 after trading around 0.17 on the day, while recent coverage has focused on David Jolly consolidating the Democratic field. That keeps Demings relevant as the main alternative, but the market still has him well behind Jolly.

19%10%

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

41%

23.5%

22.2%

20.2%

J. Pizzo

D. Cava

D. Jolly

J. Demings

G. Graham

A. Nixon

F. Driskell

S. Jones

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Pizzo	Cava	Jolly	Demings	Graham	Nixon	Driskell	Jones
Polling Average	Pizzo+17.5	41.0%	23.5%	22.2%	20.2%	9.0%	5.0%	4.0%	3.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+15.0	–	–	42.0%	27.0%	–	–	–	–
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31	Jolly+10.6	–	–	20.7%	10.1%	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchFeb 13 - 16	Jolly+8.0	–	–	31.0%	23.0%	–	–	–	–
Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyJan 8 - 13	Jolly+4.0	–	–	23.0%	19.0%	–	–	–	–
Public Policy PollingDec 2 - 3	Jolly+0.0	–	–	22.0%	22.0%	–	–	–	–
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7	Cava+19.0	–	32.0%	10.0%	–	13.0%	6.0%	7.0%	4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22	Pizzo+26.0	41.0%	15.0%	7.0%	–	5.0%	4.0%	1.0%	2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$500K

$375K

$250K

$125K

A. Nixon

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

A. NixonAngie Nixon

$293.6KContrib: $293.6K

$177.6KSpent: $21.0K

$1.4KLast period: $195.9K

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Who will win the 2026 Florida Governor Democratic Primary?

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

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