Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Rains

Matt Rains

Overview

Current roleRancher

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundRancher

Notable personal detailsMatthew (Matt) Rains is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District (MT-01). He is a rancher and U.S. Army veteran and has described himself as a political moderate focused on agriculture and rural issues. He previously ran for Congress in 2020 and later worked for the Montana Farmers Union, including as chief of staff to its president Walter Schweitzer (2020–2025).

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering costs for Montanans including bringing down food, housing, and property taxes while opposing tariffs that raise prices; also emphasizes protecting Medicaid and support for family farms and ranchers. Positions combine targeted tax relief with support for public programs, producing a mixed pattern on economy and taxes.

Healthcare

Supports protecting access to health care and rural hospitals and opposes cuts to Medicaid that would threaten rural clinics; calls for restoring Medicaid funding to keep clinics open and make health care affordable for Montanans.

Polls

Upswing Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
Matt Rains
M. Rains
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Upswing ResearchMay 5, 2026
43.0%
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Matt Rains for MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Montana ranchers

Public endorsement

Montana ranchers endorsed Matt Rains for Congress.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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