Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47%
45.5%
45.1%
45%
41%
40.5%
40.0%
G. Whitmer
T. Dixon
H. Stevens
D. Nessel
B. Posthumus
A. El-Sayed
B. Huizenga
Loading race
Loading race
Loading race
$108.3K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$108.3K
24h volume
$47
source: Kalshi
Michigan’s 2026 Senate contest is an open-seat race after Gary Peters’ retirement, and reporting describes the general election as likely close. On the Democratic side, Mallory McMorrow, Abdul El-Sayed, and Haley Stevens are in a competitive primary that’s becoming a proxy fight over the party’s future, shaped by fundraising, endorsements, and foreign-policy debates. The open-seat setup and “close” general-election expectations may keep odds tight and volatility elevated. Primary uncertainty on the Democratic side could add near-term uncertainty until the field clarifies.
Politicians don't like looking back, but conceding more mistakes might help Democrats with voter-registration deficits, writes Lucas Grundmeier.
The outrage over Abdul El-Sayed’s appearance with Hasan Piker reveals a schism that runs deeper than his Democratic primary race against Mallory McMorrow.
Many fear the ceasefire with Iran may come too late to blunt potential losses in the 2026 midterms.
Cook Political Report shifted ratings in four Senate races toward Democrats, citing a rough climate for the GOP, but says Republicans remain favorites to hold the chamber.
Advocates across the U.S. are hoping a growing unhappiness of wage and wealth inequalities that have increased coming out of the COVID-19 pandemic will
While dozens of seats are technically on the ballot, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.
DORAL, Fla. (AP) — President Donald Trump insisted he had the answer for Republicans anxious about losing their congressional majority this year: build on an already strict national voter identification law to ban mail ballots and restrict transgender rights.
Scott predicted that Republicans will end up winning “maybe” 55 Senate seats, but “at least” 53, the number it currently holds.
U.S. Sen. Elissa Slotkin, a Michigan Democrat, says Democrats need to "lose better in red areas" like Iowa to reclaim power and rebuild the country.
The U.S. senator appeared at a Saginaw gathering Monday for the Democratic candidate, who faces Republican Jason Tunney and Libertarian Ali Sledz in the May 5 special election for District 35.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.