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Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Senate Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 151 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Michigan Senate winner?

$163.1K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

72.0%

R. Party

30.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$163.1K

24h volume

$703

D. Party72%

R. Party30%

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source: Kalshi

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Michigan 2026 primary

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Michigan 2026 general election

News

AINews Summary

Mike Rogers got a major $15 million spending boost from a conservative super PAC and affiliated nonprofit. He is still the Republican frontrunner, but the GOP nomination is not settled yet. Democrats also remain in a competitive primary, keeping the race uncertain. The $15 million boost likely improves Rogers’s visibility and Republican chances, but the still-open primaries keep uncertainty high. Overall, the market may see a modest GOP lift with a competitive race still plausible.

Articles

WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

Rogers gets $15 million cash boost with Sentinel Action Fund backing

Mike Rogers has fallen behind Democrats in the Michigan Senate race in fundraising, but a conservative super PAC is now behind him.

PPOLITICO3 months ago

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

In its first midterms test, the powerful pro-Israel group backed two victors but failed to secure its preferred outcome in the two districts where it spent the most.

MLM Live Michigan 3 months ago

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Political experts predict Democrats have an early advantage as low presidential approval ratings and a divided electorate shape the contest for the vacant Senate seat — but it may not take much to change the momentum.

CNCBS News3 months ago

Facing potential Latino voter slide, GOP mobilizes in crucial Senate races ahead of 2026 midterms

Amid signs that Republicans may lose some of the Latino support that the party picked up in 2024, grassroots organizations are stepping in to boost GOP Senate candidates in key midterm races.

WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

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WEWashington Examiner3 months ago

Donors turn their attention to attorney general races in 2026 midterms

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WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

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While dozens of seats are technically on the ballot, certain House, Senate, and gubernatorial races could flip seats and state control.

WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

Democrats target races in Iowa, Arizona, and Pennsylvania to flip seats

The DCCC announced 12 districts across eight different states that it is seeking to flip from red to blue in the 2026 elections.

CSChicago Sun-Times3 months ago

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AFAugusta Free Press3 months ago

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Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

47%

45.5%

45.1%

45%

41%

40.5%

40.0%

G. Whitmer

T. Dixon

H. Stevens

D. Nessel

B. Posthumus

A. El-Sayed

B. Huizenga

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Whitmer	Dixon	Stevens	Nessel	Posthumus	El-Sayed	Huizenga
Polling Average	Whitmer+1.5	47.0%	45.5%	45.1%	45.0%	41.0%	40.5%	40.0%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Stevens+6.0	–	–	45.1%	–	–	–	39.1%
Glengariff GroupMay 5 - 8	Huizenga+0.5	–	–	–	–	–	40.5%	41.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Whitmer+6.0	47.0%	–	–	–	41.0%	–	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Nessel+0.0	–	45.0%	–	45.0%	–	–	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMar 13 - 13	Whitmer+1.0	47.0%	46.0%	–	–	–	–	–

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Senate Election?

Michigan Senate winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

News

Rogers gets $15 million cash boost with Sentinel Action Fund backing

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Facing potential Latino voter slide, GOP mobilizes in crucial Senate races ahead of 2026 midterms

The Democrats who could run for president in 2028

Donors turn their attention to attorney general races in 2026 midterms

Here are the 2026 midterm races that are actually competitive

Democrats target races in Iowa, Arizona, and Pennsylvania to flip seats

Stay up-to-date during Election Day

Alon Ben-Meir: Trump’s aura of invincibility is disintegrating

Polls

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

News

Rogers gets $15 million cash boost with Sentinel Action Fund backing

AIPAC faces calls to reassess strategy after split results in Illinois

Michigan’s politics may have changed since 2024. A U.S. Senate race this year could show how much.

Facing potential Latino voter slide, GOP mobilizes in crucial Senate races ahead of 2026 midterms

The Democrats who could run for president in 2028

Donors turn their attention to attorney general races in 2026 midterms

Here are the 2026 midterm races that are actually competitive

Democrats target races in Iowa, Arizona, and Pennsylvania to flip seats

Stay up-to-date during Election Day

Alon Ben-Meir: Trump’s aura of invincibility is disintegrating

Polls

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Democratic Governor nominee?