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High Impact19d

5%17%

Duggan’s withdrawal is a concrete new shock for the Michigan governor market and should force traders to reprice the independent lane quickly, especially after his recent mid-teens volatility.

ActiveGeneral Election

Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 151 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Michigan Governor winner?

$251.6K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

86.0%

R. Party

14.0%

M. Duggan

0.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$251.6K

24h volume

D. Party86%

R. Party14%

M. Duggan1%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 4

Michigan 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Michigan 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Michigan Governor winner?

19dHigh Impact

Duggan’s withdrawal is a concrete new shock for the Michigan governor market and should force traders to reprice the independent lane quickly, especially after his recent mid-teens volatility.

17%5%

Michigan Governor winner?

18d

Democratic Party's odds are now 82%, past the previous high of 69%.

82%13%

Michigan Governor winner?

19d

Democratic Party's odds are now 81%, past the previous high of 69%.

81%12%

News

AINews Summary

Recent news centers on two developments in the 2026 Michigan governor race: Rep. John James is leading the Republican primary field while campaigning on a “bill of rights” for parents and drawing some criticism for limited visibility. James also received a notable endorsement from Kid Rock, adding attention to his candidacy. Separately, former Detroit mayor Mike Duggan has entered the race as an independent, pitching a centrist, anti-partisan platform focused on economic development, education reform, and housing. James consolidating momentum in the GOP primary and receiving a high-profile endorsement may marginally boost perceived Republican competitiveness. However, Duggan’s independent bid introduces uncertainty and potential vote-splitting across major parties, making the net impact on the party-of-winner market mixed.

Articles

MLM Live Michigan 4 months ago

John James touts ‘bill of rights’ for Michigan parents in race for governor

John James is leading in the polls in the Michigan governor's race but, unlike his closest opponents, he faces a dogpile of a primary.

MLM Live Michigan 4 months ago

Mike Duggan is promising a Michigan turnaround. It starts with an end to us-vs-them politics.

Before Mike Duggan, Michigan hadn’t had a viable gubernatorial candidate who wasn’t a Democrat or Republican since L. Whitney Watkins ran on the Bull Moose Party ticket in 1912.

NNNBC News4 months ago

A former Democrat and the Trump factor scramble Michigan's race for governor

DETROIT — Michigan could do something this fall that it hasn’t done in more than 65 years: elect a Democrat to succeed a Democratic governor

MLM Live Michigan 4 months ago

See the key 2026 election dates for Michigan’s governor race

As the election year unfolds, there are several key dates that will impact who gets on the ballot and how.

LSLansing State Journal4 months ago

Michigan 'quality guru' Perry Johnson to make 2nd GOP bid for governor

Perry Johnson of Oakland County spent millions on two earlier failed bids for elected office, running for governor in 2022 and president in 2023.

MLM Live Michigan 5 months ago

Election 2026: Michigan, what are you looking for in your next governor?

MLive is seeking reader feedback on what issues Michiganders want their next governor to have the ability to address. A crowded field is battling to be on the November ballot to replace Gov. Whitmer.

MLM Live Michigan 5 months ago

Benson campaign shares healthcare agenda reviving several Whitmer priorities

Jocelyn Benson, a 2026 Democratic candidate for governor, rolled out a healthcare agenda that includes several policies previously pitched by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer.

SIStaten Island Advance4 months ago

Kid Rock comes out with endorsement for this gubernatorial candidate

The Metro Detroit native is making his voice heard in the upcoming election.

MLM Live Michigan 4 months ago

Kid Rock comes out with an endorsement for governor of Michigan

The Metro Detroit native is making his voice heard in the upcoming election.

DFDetroit Free Press4 months ago

Jocelyn Benson has fundraising edge in Michigan governor's race

Newly reported campaign finance statements offer insight into who has raised the most as the calendar turned toward an election year.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

39.5%

33.5%

30%

29%

22.1%

J. Benson

J. James

M. Cox

P. Johnson

M. Duggan

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Benson	James	Cox	Johnson	Duggan
Polling Average	Benson+6.0	39.5%	33.5%	30.0%	29.0%	22.1%
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23	Benson+11.0	49.0%	38.0%	–	–	–
TIPP InsightsMay 20 - 23	Benson+11.0	46.0%	35.0%	–	–	–
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+11.0	41.0%	–	30.0%	–	14.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+10.0	42.0%	–	–	32.0%	13.0%
Mitchell Research & CommunicationsMay 1 - 7	Benson+12.0	42.0%	30.0%	–	–	13.0%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1	Benson+8.0	34.0%	–	–	26.0%	23.3%
Glengariff GroupApr 28 - May 1	Benson+5.0	34.2%	29.2%	–	–	23.0%
Impact ResearchMar 23 - 29	Benson+4.0	40.0%	36.0%	–	–	20.0%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGovMar 2 - 24	Benson+7.0	30.0%	23.0%	–	–	19.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 9 - 16	Benson+3.0	39.0%	36.0%	–	–	20.0%
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2	Benson+4.2	45.0%	40.8%	–	–	–
Glengariff GroupJan 27 - Feb 2	Duggan+22.1	31.3%	–	–	–	53.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

Endorsements
Fundraising

Which Party wins the 2026 Michigan Governor Election?

Michigan Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

News

John James touts ‘bill of rights’ for Michigan parents in race for governor

Mike Duggan is promising a Michigan turnaround. It starts with an end to us-vs-them politics.

A former Democrat and the Trump factor scramble Michigan's race for governor

See the key 2026 election dates for Michigan’s governor race

Michigan 'quality guru' Perry Johnson to make 2nd GOP bid for governor

Election 2026: Michigan, what are you looking for in your next governor?

Benson campaign shares healthcare agenda reviving several Whitmer priorities

Kid Rock comes out with endorsement for this gubernatorial candidate

Kid Rock comes out with an endorsement for governor of Michigan

Jocelyn Benson has fundraising edge in Michigan governor's race

Polls

Related races

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Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

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Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

Michigan Governor winner?

News

John James touts ‘bill of rights’ for Michigan parents in race for governor

Mike Duggan is promising a Michigan turnaround. It starts with an end to us-vs-them politics.

A former Democrat and the Trump factor scramble Michigan's race for governor

See the key 2026 election dates for Michigan’s governor race

Michigan 'quality guru' Perry Johnson to make 2nd GOP bid for governor

Election 2026: Michigan, what are you looking for in your next governor?

Benson campaign shares healthcare agenda reviving several Whitmer priorities

Kid Rock comes out with endorsement for this gubernatorial candidate

Kid Rock comes out with an endorsement for governor of Michigan

Jocelyn Benson has fundraising edge in Michigan governor's race

Polls

Related races

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

Michigan Senate winner?

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