Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46%
45.3%
38%
37%
M. Peltola
N. Begich
M. Schultz
B. Hill
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$13.2K
NOV 3, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$13.2K
24h volume
$750
source: Kalshi
The provided news items focus on 2026 U.S. Senate races in Maine, Texas, and North Carolina, not Alaska’s at-large U.S. House race. There are no reported Alaska candidate, polling, endorsement, ballot, or legal updates here relevant to this market. No direct Alaska at-large House 2026 developments are included in the provided news, so this update should not materially change odds based on this information alone.
At stake is more than any single race. Democrats are fighting over whether the party's traditional playbook still works in a country that elected Donald Trump for a second time — and whether leaders like Schumer should remain in charge.
“Clearly there’s a disagreement of strategy here,” said New Mexico Sen. Martin Heinrich, speaking of the Maine race in particular.
Texas Republicans are headed for a brutal Senate runoff. Sen. John Cornyn narrowly leads Attorney General Ken Paxton in the first round.
The 2026 election lurches to a start on Tuesday, as voters head to the polls for the first state primaries in Arkansas, North Carolina and Texas.
Democrats are trying to win back the Senate. But they are fighting over how to do it. Chuck Schumer is backing establishment candidates in key races. Some of his own senators are breaking ranks and endorsing more progressive challengers.
Several new polls released this week reveal Crockett and Talarico's chances in next week's Democratic primary race.
North Carolina’s U.S. Senate primary will set up a high-stakes race in the fall that could decide control of the chamber. The main contenders are ex-Democratic Gov.
North Carolina’s U.S. Senate primary will set up a high-stakes race in the fall that could decide control of the chamber North Carolina primary
Talarico will face the winner of the Cornyn–Paxton Texas runoff, as polls show tight matchups and high stakes for both parties.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.