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Which Party wins the 2026 Florida Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 4:59am UTC, in 112 daysLast updated: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

Florida Governor winner?

$145.3K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

R. Party

81.0%

D. Party

19.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$145.3K

24h volume

$2.1K

R. Party81%

D. Party19%

No chart data available yet.

source: Kalshi

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News

AINews Summary

New polling gives Republicans a small lead in Florida's 2026 governor race. Byron Donalds is ahead of David Jolly in one survey, and Republicans also hold a large voter registration advantage. Many voters are still undecided, so the race remains competitive. The latest polling slightly favors Republicans and keeps them as the party to beat. The undecided share leaves some uncertainty, but the current data points to a GOP edge.

Articles

NNews-Press5 months ago

Florida 2026 races: GOP holds single-digit leads in new poll

A new public opinion poll by UNF shows Republicans hold single-digit leads in Florida's 2026 governor and US Senate races.

NNewsweek5 months ago

David Jolly's chances of winning Florida governor election-Poll

A new poll revealed how competitive the Florida governor race could be in November.

NNews-Press6 months ago

Jay Collins, Florida Lt. Gov., announces 2026 run for governor

Florida Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announced his candidacy for the governor's job after months of rumors. His opponents have a head start.

WWJLA6 months ago

Jay Collins, Green Beret turned lieutenant governor, announces run for Florida governor

Jay Collins, Florida’s lieutenant governor and a former U.S. Army Green Beret, declared Monday on social media that he’s running for governor.

GSGainesville Sun6 months ago

Paul Renner campaign tops $5.4 million in governor race

The campaign of Republican gubernatorial candidate Paul Renner said it has raised more than $5.4 million since launching less than four months ago.

HHerald-Tribune6 months ago

Lt. Gov. Jay Collins announces 2026 run for Florida governor

Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, a former U.S. Army Green Beret, launched his campaign for Florida governor on Jan. 12.

Polls

Polling Average

50%40%30%20%10%0%

42.5%

41.7%

40.0%

B. Donalds

J. Demings

D. Jolly

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Donalds	Demings	Jolly
Polling Average	Donalds+0.8	42.5%	41.7%	40.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Donalds+0.0	37.0%	–	37.0%
Change ResearchJul 9 - 11	Jolly+1.0	40.0%	–	41.0%
Kaplan StrategiesJun 8 - 9	Donalds+5.1	34.9%	–	29.8%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Demings+4.0	42.0%	46.0%	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+2.0	43.0%	–	41.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+0.0	46.0%	–	46.0%
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Donalds+3.0	43.0%	40.0%	–
Change ResearchMay 13 - 16	Jolly+4.0	42.0%	–	46.0%
Cherry CommunicationsMay 1 - 9	Donalds+8.0	47.0%	–	39.0%
Cherry CommunicationsMay 1 - 9	Donalds+9.0	48.0%	39.0%	–
The Public Sentiment InstituteApr 27 - 27	Donalds+0.0	40.0%	–	40.0%
Stetson University Center for Public Opinion ResearchMar 25 - Apr 13	Donalds+7.0	47.0%	–	40.0%