Prediction Edge
Democrat
Gwen Graham

Gwen Graham

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age63 years old (Jan 31, 1963)

GenderFemale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., Political Science, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (1984)

Notable personal detailsGwendolyn “Gwen” Graham is an American attorney and politician who represented Florida’s 2nd Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2015 to 2017. She later served in the U.S. Department of Education as Assistant Secretary for Legislation and Congressional Affairs, after Senate confirmation in 2021. She is the daughter of former Florida Governor and U.S. Senator Bob Graham and has worked in private legal practice and in education-related administrative roles in Florida.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reversing recent federal tax cuts and increasing revenue to fund priorities such as public education, raising the minimum wage, and paid sick leave; describes Florida as a low-tax state that needs revision of current tax policy to better fund services.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid in Florida and protecting/defending the Affordable Care Act while pursuing targeted fixes; emphasizes protecting Medicare for seniors. Does not endorse single-payer/Medicare for All in available public statements.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal protections and pathways for immigrants, including preserving DACA and Temporary Protected Status and backing legislation to grant permanent residency for eligible refugees; opposes restrictive measures such as travel bans and has framed immigration with a humanitarian focus.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion rights and pro-choice policies; pledges to veto legislation that would limit a woman’s right to reproductive healthcare and has been endorsed by pro-choice groups. Advocates protecting and expanding access to abortion and related reproductive services.

Climate & Energy

Supports recognizing and addressing climate change through renewable energy standards, joining state climate alliances to uphold the Paris Agreement, banning fracking and opposing offshore drilling, and appointing science-minded regulators to promote solar and clean-energy investment.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning assault-style weapons and pursuing stronger gun-safety measures including expanded background checks and red-flag (extreme risk) interventions; has pledged executive action and legal support for local gun ordinances that exceed state preemption. Positions include enforcing and building on post-Parkland reforms and backing additional restrictions to keep weapons of war off the streets.

Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
9%
41%
23.5%
8.5%
5%
Gwen Graham
G. Graham
Jason Pizzo
J. Pizzo
Daniella Levine Cava
D. Cava
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Angie Nixon
A. Nixon
Fentrice Driskell
F. Driskell
Shevrin Jones
S. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadGrahamPizzoCavaJollyNixonDriskellJones
Polling Average
Pizzo+32.0
9.0%41.0%23.5%8.5%5.0%4.0%3.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
Cava+19.0
13.0%32.0%10.0%6.0%7.0%4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
Pizzo+36.0
5.0%41.0%15.0%7.0%4.0%1.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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