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High Impact15d

Steve Hilton

29%

Donald Trump backed Steve Hilton, who is currently at 29% in the California governor primary.

ActivePrimary ElectionDemocratic

Who will win the 2026 California Governor Primary?

Jun 3, 2026, 2:59am GMT+3, 6 days agoLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

California Governor primary: 1st place

$5.6M

JUN 3, 2026

Primary Election

Party selects its nominee.

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OddsCurrent Odds

Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.

Total volume

$5.6M

24h volume

$260.7K

X. Becerra99%

S. Hilton2%

C. Bianco0%

Loading chart data...

source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

November

TUE 3

California 2026 general election

Latest Insights

California Governor primary: 1st place

15dHigh Impact

Donald Trump backed Steve Hilton, who is currently at 29% in the California governor primary.

29%

California Governor primary: 1st place

20dHigh Impact

The poll has Steve Hilton ahead by 7.0 points, while his odds are at 36% and Xavier Becerra is ahead on odds.

36%

California Governor primary: 1st place

Latest reporting shows Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra still leading the California governor primary, reinforcing the market’s frontrunner structure even as votes remain uncounted.

News

AINews Summary

New polling shows a close California gubernatorial primary, with Steve Hilton narrowly ahead in one survey and Eric Swalwell, Katie Porter, Tom Steyer, and Chad Bianco all in the mix. A large undecided share and pending candidate certification keep the race unsettled. Recent polling points to a very tight, unsettled race with several candidates clustered near the top. That likely keeps market odds volatile and makes the first-place outcome look highly uncertain.

Articles

CNCBS News3 months ago

Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Eric Swalwell leading California governor's race, new polls show

Two new polls have conservative commentator Steve Hilton, billionaire Tom Steyer and Rep. Eric Swalwell as the front-runners for California governor.

NNewsweek3 months ago

Could California Have to Choose a Republican Governor? What Poll Shows

A new poll showed a tight race among leading candidates in the primary as lockout concerns loom for Democrats.

VCVentura County Star3 months ago

California governor primary poll finds tight race, low enthusiasm

A new UC Berkeley–LA Times poll shows Hilton and Bianco narrowly leading as many California voters remain undecided and unenthusiastic.

NNewsmax3 months ago

UC Berkeley-Politico Poll: Hilton Leads Calif. Gov Race

But Democrats see a silver lining.

WWJLA3 months ago

Rep. Eric Swalwell takes lead in open primary for California governor: poll

California Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell is in the lead for the state’s Democratic gubernatorial primary.

BNBreitbart News Network3 months ago

Nolte: Karen Bass Leads Reelection Race with 24 Percent Approval Rating, Eric Swalwell Leads CA Gov Race

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass (D-Useless) has seen her job approval rating plummet to 24 percent, but she’s still likely to get reelected. She still leads all of her 2026 competition. | Politics

NNewsmax3 months ago

Chaotic Calif. Gov Race Has No Frontrunner

The California governor’s race is increasingly crowded, prompting concern among Democrats, with former Sen. Barbara Boxer telling Politico the situation is “kind of a good news, bad news thing” because many candidates want to serve but there may be too many seeking the office.

LALos Angeles Times3 months ago

Yes, Republicans have a chance in California governor's race. Here's our expert analysis

Your morning catch up: The Republican opening for California governor, a virus with no treatment is hitting California and more big stories

Polls

Polling Average

30%25%20%15%10%5%0%

22.8%

22.3%

19.6%

11.2%

7.4%

5.5%

S. Hilton

X. Becerra

T. Steyer

C. Bianco

K. Porter

M. Mahan

A. Villaraigosa

E. Swalwell

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Hilton	Becerra	Steyer	Bianco	Porter	Mahan	Villaraigosa	Swalwell
Polling Average	Hilton+0.5	22.8%	22.3%	19.6%	11.2%	7.4%	5.5%	2.3%	0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - 31	Hilton+0.0	20.0%	17.0%	20.0%	11.0%	7.0%	6.0%	4.0%	–
Emerson CollegeMay 27 - 28	Becerra+5.8	22.5%	28.4%	22.6%	11.8%	5.2%	4.9%	2.7%	–
Public Policy PollingMay 27 - 28	Steyer+1.0	20.0%	18.0%	21.0%	14.0%	7.0%	7.0%	2.0%	–
McLaughlin & AssociatesMay 26 - 28	Hilton+0.0	25.0%	19.0%	25.0%	10.0%	7.0%	6.0%	–	–
Kreate StrategiesMay 27 - 27	Becerra+1.0	26.0%	27.0%	20.0%	9.0%	5.0%	4.0%	1.0%	–
David Binder ResearchMay 26 - 27	Hilton+1.0	27.0%	26.0%	22.0%	9.0%	8.0%	4.0%	–	–
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaMay 23 - 26	Becerra+6.0	23.0%	29.0%	18.0%	11.0%	8.0%	4.0%	3.0%	–
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24	Becerra+4.0	21.0%	25.0%	19.0%	11.0%	7.0%	4.0%	1.0%	–
Echelon InsightsMay 18 - 21	Hilton+7.0	25.0%	15.0%	18.0%	12.0%	7.0%	7.0%	1.0%	–
Global Strategy GroupMay 18 - 21	Hilton+3.0	22.0%	19.0%	19.0%	12.0%	8.0%	8.0%	2.0%	–
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMay 14 - 18	Becerra+3.0	20.0%	23.0%	15.0%	13.0%	12.0%	7.0%	5.0%	–
EvitarusMay 14 - 16	Hilton+1.0	22.0%	21.0%	15.0%	10.0%	7.0%	4.0%	1.0%	0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Steve Hilton

Uber Technologies Inc.

Uber Technologies Inc. backed Steve Hilton’s California governor campaign as part of a broader set of endorsements.

Learn more

Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin endorsed Steve Hilton’s California governor campaign.

Learn more

Fundraising

Total RaisedCash on Hand

Mar 31, 2026

$2M

$1.5M

$1M

$500K

E. Swalwell

K. Porter

X. Becerra

Candidate

Total Raised

Cash on Hand

Burn Rate (per month)

Last report

E. SwalwellEric Swalwell

$1.71MContrib: $1.66M

$288.6KSpent: $1.72M

$114.9KLast period: $250

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

K. PorterKatie Porter

$210.8KContrib: $0

$0Spent: $1.62M

$203.1KLast period: $0

TERMINATION REPORT · Aug 15, 2025

X. BecerraXavier Becerra

—Contrib: $0

$69.0KSpent: $1.29M

$85.9KLast period: $0

APRIL QUARTERLY · Mar 31, 2026

Source: FEC

Who will win the 2026 California Governor Primary?

California Governor primary: 1st place

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

News

Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Eric Swalwell leading California governor's race, new polls show

Could California Have to Choose a Republican Governor? What Poll Shows

California governor primary poll finds tight race, low enthusiasm

UC Berkeley-Politico Poll: Hilton Leads Calif. Gov Race

Rep. Eric Swalwell takes lead in open primary for California governor: poll

Nolte: Karen Bass Leads Reelection Race with 24 Percent Approval Rating, Eric Swalwell Leads CA Gov Race

Chaotic Calif. Gov Race Has No Frontrunner

Yes, Republicans have a chance in California governor's race. Here's our expert analysis

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

California Governor winner?

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)

California governor primary: 3rd place

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

California Governor primary: 1st place

News

Steve Hilton, Tom Steyer and Eric Swalwell leading California governor's race, new polls show

Could California Have to Choose a Republican Governor? What Poll Shows

California governor primary poll finds tight race, low enthusiasm

UC Berkeley-Politico Poll: Hilton Leads Calif. Gov Race

Rep. Eric Swalwell takes lead in open primary for California governor: poll

Nolte: Karen Bass Leads Reelection Race with 24 Percent Approval Rating, Eric Swalwell Leads CA Gov Race

Chaotic Calif. Gov Race Has No Frontrunner

Yes, Republicans have a chance in California governor's race. Here's our expert analysis

Polls

Endorsements

Fundraising

Related races

California Governor winner?

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)

California governor primary: 3rd place

Los Angeles Mayor winner?