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$85.9K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
A new poll shows Republican Ashley Moody ahead of Democrat Alexander Vindman by 3 points in Florida’s Senate race, a narrower margin than some recent surveys. Major race handicappers still rate the contest as Safe/Likely Republican. There were no new reports in these summaries about changes to the Republican primary field. The polling and race ratings may modestly support expectations of a strong GOP position in Florida, which could reinforce confidence in the leading Republican contender. With no new GOP primary-field news, nominee odds may not move much.
Suddenly, Little Marco is getting big.
A new poll pointed to a potentially close race in the Sunshine State between Senator Ashley Moody and Alexander Vindman.
Your friendly neighborhood Jan. 6 participant may also be your next elected official.
Voters across Maine should be on the lookout for AI-generated photos, videos, games and automated outreach efforts as November approaches.
The Michigan governor doesn’t sound like “Big Gretch” anymore.
Tuesday is the deadline for a candidate to withdraw from the race and stay off the ballot.
Who Talarico will face depends on a runoff between longtime Sen. John Cornyn and MAGA favorite Ken Paxton.
Longtime Sen. John Cornyn and MAGA favorite Ken Paxton are heading to a May runoff in Texas' Republican Senate primary, setting up what's expected to be a nasty and expensive second round and a renewed push to win the endorsement of President Donald Trump.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed James Uthmeier for Florida attorney general in the 2026 election.
A. MoodyAshley Moody
C. MillsCory MillsNew updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
