$175.9K
JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Deposit $20, get $50 on Polymarket
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Valdez’s win probability moved up to 68% in the last hour and has held near that level after days of volatility, while recent reporting shows the race remains a two-way progressive contest with high-profile endorsements on both sides. That keeps the market tightly focused on which faction can consolidate support before the June 23 primary.
Claire Valdez has entered the race for New York's 7th District and is getting backing from Zohran Mamdani. She is also drawing criticism over her limited experience, while retiring Rep. Nydia Velazquéz prefers Antonio Reynoso as her successor. The news adds some visibility for Valdez, but the reported criticism and Velazquéz's preference for Reynoso may limit her upside. Overall, it looks mixed and keeps the race uncertain.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
C. ValdezClaire ValdezJ. WonJulie WonA. ReynosoAntonio ReynosoSource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
