$172.9K
JUN 27, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
A new Emerson poll gives Lander a 57-23 lead over Dan Goldman, and local coverage keeps the race centered on whether Goldman can close the gap before the June 23 primary. That’s trader-relevant because it reinforces the market’s Lander-favored pricing and suggests the incumbent’s path remains narrow despite continuing attention.
Dan Goldman has raised $4,274,013.50 this cycle, but Brad Lander holds the lead in the latest odds for "NY-10 Democratic nominee?"
Lander’s win probability has climbed to 91.8% while Dan Goldman has dropped to 12%, and recent coverage keeps the race focused on whether high-profile endorsements and local political alignment can still move the June 23 primary. That makes the market worth watching for whether Goldman’s recent bounce was just noise or the start of a larger repricing.
Brad Lander remains a live challenger to Dan Goldman in the Democratic primary for New York's 10th District. He has also sharpened his contrast on Israel, while a Supreme Court ruling on NY-11 has reduced some redistricting uncertainty in New York City. The race still looks competitive, with redistricting uncertainty easing somewhat after the NY-11 ruling. Lander's policy shift and pending trial could affect momentum, but the overall impact is mixed.
In political races across the country, progressive hopefuls are trying to turn Democratic primaries into contests over who can disavow Israel the most — and standout from other progressives.
Democratic congressional candidate Brad Lander is calling for the Supreme Court to be expanded and term limits for justices, saying the conservative judges "are putting partisan politics ahead of impartial justice.”
Former Controller Brad Lander reportedly says he's pulling punches in his challenge to Rep. Dan Goldman (D-New York) because their potential Democratic congressional primary race could get shaken up by an ongoing redistricting court battle.
Lander has rejected a deal from prosecutors that would have ultimately wiped the slate clean, choosing to fight the violation at trial.
A state appeals court Thursday sided with Democrats in a contentious New York voting rights case that could wind up flipping the Staten Island-based seat held by Republican Rep. Nicole Malliotakis in the fall midterm elections.
Monday’s Supreme Court ruling overturning a state court order to redraw the 11th Congressional District seat could have major implications for New York’s
The Supreme Court blocked a push to redraw New York City congresswoman Nicole Malliotakis’s district, all but ensuring that the city will retain one Republican member of Congress.
The U.S. Supreme Court hands Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R-New York) a lifeline by ruling that her Staten Island-based district does not need to be redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterm congressional elections.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
D. GoldmanDan GoldmanB. LanderBrad Lander
C. KaskyCameron KaskySource: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
