




Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
The main Democratic contenders—Shah, Pingree, Bellows, and Jackson—are actively campaigning, including a health care forum where they broadly agreed on moving toward universal coverage. New campaign finance filings show outside groups beginning to spend in the Democratic primary, with Maine Conservation Voters reporting over $200,000 backing Pingree and smaller reported sums tied to Jackson and Shah. Jackson is also pushing a pledge to reject corporate and “dark money.” Outside spending disclosures could nudge odds toward candidates showing stronger allied support (notably Pingree), but the overall impact is still early and uncertain. The forum highlights active competition among multiple contenders rather than a clear front-runner.





J. GoldenJared Golden
C. PingreeChellie Pingree
A. KingAngus King