Prediction Edge
Democrat
Alex Padilla

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age53 years old (Mar 22, 1973)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationMassachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) — B.S., Mechanical Engineering

Notable personal detailsAlex Padilla is a U.S. Senator from California, first appointed in January 2021 and elected to a full term in November 2022. He previously served as California Secretary of State (2015–2021), a California State Senator, and a member (and president) of the Los Angeles City Council. He earned a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and has focused on election administration, voting rights, and other public-policy issues.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for working families and disaster survivors, backs refundable tax credits such as the expanded Child Tax Credit, and opposes large tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy while supporting tax incentives for clean energy and disaster mitigation. Advocates preserving social programs that would be cut to pay for wealthy tax breaks and has sponsored/endorsed legislation providing specific tax relief measures.

Healthcare

Supports guaranteeing health care as a right and has sponsored/endorsed Medicare for All legislation while also backing measures to expand access and address inequities in care. Advocates for protecting and expanding Affordable Care Act subsidies and lowering prescription drug costs. Sponsors bipartisan bills to increase access to specialty and digital health services and legislation to make equitable health care a protected civil right.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanding legal pathways to permanent residency and pathways to citizenship, protecting DACA recipients and Dreamers, and opposing policies that restrict asylum access or enable mass deportations. Criticizes Republican border proposals that would dismantle asylum protections and calls for humanitarian, root-cause approaches rather than militarized enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying the right to abortion into federal law, opposes restrictive state bans, and has sponsored/co-sponsored legislation to protect abortion access, medication abortion, providers, and interstate travel for reproductive care. Describes abortion as a fundamental right and advocates for federal protections to restore and guarantee nationwide access. Has repeatedly introduced and backed bills and resolutions to preserve and expand reproductive freedom.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive climate action including major clean energy investments, policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and measures to decarbonize infrastructure and protect climate-vulnerable communities. Has cosponsored the Green New Deal resolution, backed large federal investments in clean ports, energy-efficiency and residential solar incentives, and emphasizes climate resilience and environmental justice.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports significant federal gun safety measures including raising the minimum age to purchase assault weapons, banning or restricting high-capacity magazines, expanding background checks, and implementing policies (including red flag-related provisions) to keep guns away from those at risk of committing violence. Has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to restrict access to assault weapons and high-capacity magazines and to cut federal contracts with dealers whose firearms are disproportionately linked to violent crime.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Alex Padilla is in the news as one of several Democrats running in California’s crowded 2026 governor’s race, which party leaders worry could split the vote under the top-two primary system. State Democratic Party chair Rusty Hicks urged lower-polling candidates to reconsider and drop out ahead of the filing deadline, warning Democrats could miss the general election entirely if two Republicans advance. That push to consolidate largely failed, with most candidates staying in and only Ian Calderon exiting and endorsing Eric Swalwell.

padilla.senate.gov+24

Polls

California governor primary: 3rd place
Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
11.6%
12.8%
11.5%
10.6%
Alex Padilla
A. Padilla
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Butch Ware
B. Ware
Date (Start - End)SpreadPadillaPorterBiancoHiltonBecerraVillaraigosaSteyerWare
Polling Average
Porter+1.2
11.6%12.8%11.5%10.6%4.5%4.3%1.0%0.4%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+1.0
12.0%9.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%1.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Padilla+2.0
16.0%14.0%14.0%14.0%5.0%6.0%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+8.6
6.9%15.5%7.5%9.8%3.4%3.9%0.4%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$11.8M
$8.8M
$5.9M
$2.9M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$11.8M
$7.5M
$4.6M
$190.3K

Cycle 2024

$754.2K
$6.6M
$1.6M
$65.2K

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$7.2M
$735.7K
$49.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements