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NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Recent news is mostly focused outside Tennessee, including Kamala Harris endorsing Jasmine Crockett in the Texas Democratic Senate primary and national Democrats backing a challenger in Iowa’s 3rd District. A Tennessee-specific development is Lt. Gov. Randy McNally’s retirement, which could shift influence away from East Tennessee and elevate Middle Tennessee figures like Jack Johnson or Paul Bailey in state government. Separately, analysis of Trump’s sway over 2026 primaries suggests GOP candidate positioning around him may be an important dynamic in multiple states. Direct impact on the 2026 Tennessee Senate winner market is unclear because none of the items address Tennessee’s Senate candidates or polling. The main potentially relevant signal is intrastate GOP power dynamics from McNally’s retirement and broader expectations about Trump’s influence on 2026 primaries, which could modestly shift sentiment about which Republican factions or potential contenders
Republican candidate Derek Dooley campaigns in Georgia with Gov. Brian Kemp, aiming to win a Senate seat.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris has made her first major return to campaign politics since her 2024 presidential run, endorsing Democratic Rep.
The DCCC announced 12 districts across eight different states that it is seeking to flip from red to blue in the 2026 elections.
More Republicans are not seeking re-election this year than at any point since 2012, according to data from Ballotpedia.
President Donald Trump says he wants a global tariff of 15%, up from 10% he’d announced earlier after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down many of the far-reaching taxes on imports that he had imposed over the last year.
COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP) — More than three decades after Lindsey Graham first arrived in Washington, he has everything he could ever want. The senator has President…
After President Donald Trump’s unexpectedly competitive showings in big blue states around the country, Republicans emerged from the 2024 election expressing optimism about their prospects in places that Democrats have dominated for years. But as the midterm election approaches, those prospects have dwindled.
Midterm elections 2026 present high hurdles for Republicans defending Senate control amid inflation concerns and President Donald Trump's underwater approval ratings.
Randy McNally was the highest-ranking East Tennessean in state government. His retirement means his successor won't have the same local ties.
President Donald Trump's political might is being closely scrutinized as politicians weigh the power of his endorsement.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
