$39.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
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source: Kalshi
Republican Party
Republican win odds in SC-06 rose sharply after South Carolina senators rejected the Trump-backed redraw plan, removing the near-term risk of a map change before the June primary. That makes the incumbent map more likely to stay in place and helps explain the market repricing.
Republican win odds in SC-06 rose sharply after South Carolina senators rejected the Trump-backed redraw plan, removing the near-term risk of a map change before the June primary. That makes the incumbent map more likely to stay in place and helps explain the market repricing.
That’s a fresh high for Republican Party in "SC-06 House winner?", topping the previous 4% high.
Republican win odds in SC-06 jumped back near 10% after South Carolina Senate Republicans rejected the Trump-backed redraw plan, keeping the current map intact for now and reducing the near-term chance of a district change before the June 9 primary.
Clyburn, who first came to Congress in 1993, is seeking his 18th term. He is one of seven representatives over 80 seeking reelection in 2026.
Clyburn, who first came to Congress in 1993, is seeking his 18th term. He is one of seven representatives over 80 seeking reelection in 2026.
U.S. Rep. James Clyburn announced Thursday that he plans to run for reelection in South Carolina’s 6th Congressional District,.
National Democrats warn SC election officials that a DOJ voter-roll agreement could violate federal law and prompt a lawsuit if eligible voters are removed
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
