$4.6K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
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source: Kalshi
Markwayne Mullin’s move to Homeland Security would open Oklahoma’s Senate seat and trigger a temporary appointment before the election. Kevin Hern has already entered the race and is drawing Republican support. The latest developments point to a Republican-held seat remaining the most likely outcome. The news keeps the seat strongly in Republican hands and may reduce uncertainty about the party outcome. Hern’s entry and GOP backing reinforce that Republicans are the clear early favorites.
House GOP Policy Chair Kevin Hern enters the race for Markwayne Mullin’s Senate seat, tapping Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio as he targets "radical left" policies.
Progressive star Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Texas, conceded her race for U.S. Senate after suffering an “embarrassing" defeat to a much lesser-known Democrat
President Donald Trump announced that he will replace Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem with Oklahoma Republican Senator Markwayne Mullin.
President Donald Trump on Thursday announced he was ousting Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, and that GOP Sen. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma would replace her.
Mullin, a Republican who was elected to the Senate in 2022 after serving in the House, is midway through a term that runs until January 2029.
President Trump announced that current DHS secretary, Kristi Noem, is being replaced by former MMA fighter and Oklahoma Sen. Markwayne Mullin.
Markwayne Mullin, the U.S.
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
