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$24.4K
AUG 18, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Florida’s Democratic field remains unsettled, and a new Emerson poll in the 2026 governor race shows a close contest with many voters undecided. Democrats also notched a notable Florida special-election win, flipping a statehouse seat and beating a Trump-endorsed Republican. Separately, a new Trump executive order on voter eligibility and mail-in voting could affect 2026 election administration. There’s no direct nominee news, but the Florida special-election win could modestly improve sentiment around Democrats’ 2026 prospects. The unsettled Democratic field and potential voting-rule changes may add uncertainty to the nominee market.
Florida's 2026 governor race now has 41 candidates,. See who's running and who's leading early polls.
In 2026, Democrats have flipped five state seats, with the two most recent secured Tuesday night in Republican stronghold Florida.
Here’s why Republican chances in the 2026 midterms just took a major blow.
Democrats are licking their chops for November's midterm elections, according to CNN's Harry Enten, after flipping a Republican seat in the Florida statehouse district that includes President Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort.Democrat Emily Gregory won a special election Tuesday over the Trump-endors...
Whether by law, referendum or special election, redistricting efforts are happening across the county. Utah, Florida, and New York, could be next.
U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow failed to report stock trades to Congress on time. A super PAC supporting U.S. Sen. Bill Cassidy is attacking her for it.
President Donald Trump has said he plans to endorse one of the candidates in the Republican Senate runoff in Texas, but Tuesday is the last chance for either to withdraw from the ballot and fulfill the party's hope of avoiding more than two months of bitter and costly campaigning.
An Emerson College survey shows the Republicans still hold the lead in a state that has shifted right in recent elections.
President Donald Trump signed an executive order cracking down on federal voter eligibility across states and mail-in voting, a practice he's heavily criticized despite recently voting by mail himself.
The Conservative Political Action Conference’s annual gathering in Texas — like most of its meetings over the last decade — was largely a pro-President Donald Trump pep rally. But several moments over the first two days of the event made clear that there are also rifts on the right that couldn’t be smoothed over among the activists gathered just outside Dallas.
J. WeilJosh Weil
J. MoskowitzJared Moskowitz
H. MujicaHector Mujica
J. JenkinsJennifer Jenkins
A. NixonAngie Nixon
J. AtkinsJoey AtkinsNew updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
