Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
28.5%
16.1%
6.7%



Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
June
TUE 23
South Carolina 2026 primary runoff, if required
November
TUE 3
South Carolina 2026 general election



| Date (Start - End) | Spread | Johnson | Webster | McLeod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling Average | Johnson+12.4 | 28.5% | 16.1% | 6.7% |
The Citadel School of Humanities and Social SciencesMay 21 - 31 | Johnson+15.0 | 33.0% | 18.0% | 6.0% |
Conquest Communications GroupMay 18 - 21 | Johnson+13.3 | 27.4% | 14.1% | 6.1% |
Targoz Market ResearchJan 24 - Feb 1 | Johnson+17.0 | 25.0% | – | 8.0% |
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.