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Which Party wins the 2026 Connecticut Governor Election?

Nov 7, 2026, 6:59am GMT+2, in 151 daysLast updated: Jun 9, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC

Connecticut Governor winner?

$15.4K

NOV 7, 2026

General Election

Voters choose the office holder.

D. Party

91.0%

R. Party

12.0%

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OddsCurrent Odds

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Total volume

$15.4K

24h volume

D. Party91%

R. Party12%

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source: Kalshi

Upcoming Events

August

TUE 11

Connecticut 2026 primary

November

TUE 3

Connecticut 2026 general election

Latest Insights

Connecticut Governor winner?

13d

Republican Party's odds are now 23%, above the previous high of 11%.

23%12%

Connecticut Governor winner?

23d

Republicans just consolidated around Ryan Fazio, while the GOP governorship market is still only around 11% yes. The nomination reset removes Erin Stewart’s collapse risk and gives the party a cleaner ticket, which is the kind of fresh catalyst traders can reprice quickly in a low-probability market.

11%3%

News

AINews Summary

Lamont is heading into 2026 with a budget fight over tax rebates and school aid, while Republicans are pressing corruption attacks on Democrats. On the GOP side, Erin Stewart has launched a $200,000 TV campaign as she seeks the nomination. The budget fight and corruption attacks could add some pressure on Democrats, but Lamont remains the incumbent. Stewart’s ad buy signals a more active GOP challenge, though the overall effect is still uncertain.

Articles

HCHartford Courant3 months ago

Dems eye Lamont's tax rebate money for town education aid

With school districts statewide grimly predicting steep property tax hikes and massive program cuts, House Democrats are proposing $100 million to $150 million in "stabilization" aid.

HCHartford Courant4 months ago

Former mayor Erin Stewart unveils 3 TV ads for 2026 race, blasting Lamont

CNCable News Network3 months ago

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

After President Donald Trump’s unexpectedly competitive showings in big blue states around the country, Republicans emerged from the 2024 election expressing optimism about their prospects in places that Democrats have dominated for years. But as the midterm election approaches, those prospects have dwindled.

RSRaw Story3 months ago

Bannon promised ICE at polls - now these states are passing laws to stop it

Several Democratic states are moving to bar federal immigration agents from being near polling places and other election sites, amid persistent worries that President Donald Trump will use federal law enforcement or the military to disrupt the midterm elections.Measures to restrict federal agents fr...

HCHartford Courant3 months ago

Blue states push to ban ICE at the polls amid federal voter intimidation fears

WEWashington Examiner4 months ago

Here's who the president has picked for 2026

Republicans hold a narrow majority in the House, and the party risks losing control of the chamber if Democrats net just a handful of seats.

AOArkansas Online5 months ago

New England slammed by winter storms

UNU.S. News & World Report3 months ago

Mary Mushinsky, Longest-Serving Member of the Connecticut House, to Retire

Mary Mushinsky was a 29-year-old political organizer and public-interest lobbyist when she decided to take a more direct role in setting public policy in Connecticut by running for a seat in the General Assembly.

HCHartford Courant4 months ago

CT GOP alleges 'culture of corruption' amid grants scandal

“When you have one-party rule that controls every single lever of state government, you get a level of arrogance, which we've seen right here in Connecticut,” said Sen. Harding.

Polls

Polling Average

60%50%40%30%20%10%0%

50%

42%

E. Lamont

E. Stewart

Date (Start - End)	Spread	Lamont	Stewart
Polling Average	Lamont+8.0	50.0%	42.0%
OnMessageAug 11 - 14	Lamont+8.0	50.0%	42.0%
OnMessageAug 11 - 14	Lamont+8.0	50.0%	42.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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Which Party wins the 2026 Connecticut Governor Election?

Connecticut Governor winner?

OddsCurrent Odds

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Connecticut Governor winner?

Connecticut Governor winner?

News

Dems eye Lamont's tax rebate money for town education aid

Former mayor Erin Stewart unveils 3 TV ads for 2026 race, blasting Lamont

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

Bannon promised ICE at polls - now these states are passing laws to stop it

Blue states push to ban ICE at the polls amid federal voter intimidation fears

Here's who the president has picked for 2026

New England slammed by winter storms

Mary Mushinsky, Longest-Serving Member of the Connecticut House, to Retire

CT GOP alleges 'culture of corruption' amid grants scandal

Polls

Related races

CT-02 Republican nominee?

CT-05 Democratic nominee?

CT-03 Democratic nominee?

Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?

Upcoming Events

Latest Insights

Connecticut Governor winner?

Connecticut Governor winner?

News

Dems eye Lamont's tax rebate money for town education aid

Former mayor Erin Stewart unveils 3 TV ads for 2026 race, blasting Lamont

Analysis: Trump’s 2024 showing raised GOP hopes in blue states. Now he’s in retreat

Bannon promised ICE at polls - now these states are passing laws to stop it

Blue states push to ban ICE at the polls amid federal voter intimidation fears

Here's who the president has picked for 2026

New England slammed by winter storms

Mary Mushinsky, Longest-Serving Member of the Connecticut House, to Retire

CT GOP alleges 'culture of corruption' amid grants scandal

Polls

Related races

CT-02 Republican nominee?

CT-05 Democratic nominee?

CT-03 Democratic nominee?

Connecticut Republican Governor nominee?