Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50.5%
13.2%
12.8%
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$130.0K
JUN 9, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
source: Kalshi
Paul Dans dropped out of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary and endorsed businessman Mark Lynch. After the exit, reports describe Lindsey Graham as the leading candidate, with Donald Trump again publicly backing Graham. Dans said he will help Lynch going into the June primary. Dans exiting likely reduces fragmentation among Graham’s challengers, but his endorsement could modestly boost Lynch. Trump’s reiterated backing may reinforce Graham’s position and reduce uncertainty.
Paul Dans, a chief architect of Project 2025, has shuttered his Republican primary challenge to Sen. Lindsey Graham in South Carolina, in a contest set to test the loyalties of President Donald Trump and his MAGA movement in this year's midterm election.
Paul Dans has ended his Republican primary challenge against Sen. Lindsey Graham in South Carolina. He withdrew on Friday, the last day to remove his name from the ballot before the June 9 primary.
House and Senate Dems plan to force votes on Iran war powers resolutions.
Donald Trump
Donald Trump endorsed Lindsey Graham for re-election to the U.S. Senate in South Carolina.
M. LynchMark LynchL. GrahamLindsey GrahamP. DansPaul Dans