$6.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
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Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$6.4K
24h volume
$17
source: Kalshi
The biggest development in the provided news is Juliana Stratton’s win in the Illinois Democratic Senate primary. Other coverage says outside spending had mixed results and progressive candidates underperformed in several Illinois races. None of the reports directly concern New Jersey’s 9th District. These stories are about Illinois, not New Jersey’s 9th District, so they likely have little direct effect on this market. Any impact is indirect and limited to broader Democratic primary sentiment.
Two of AIPAC's four preferred candidates won on Tuesday in Illinois's Democratic primaries, after the group used shell PACs to spend money on candidates.
In its first midterms test, the powerful pro-Israel group backed two victors but failed to secure its preferred outcome in the two districts where it spent the most.
Illinois' heavily Democratic tilt means statewide candidates and those in the Chicago area and its suburbs are favored to win in November.
From Capitol News Illinois: Legal experts, including two attorneys who formerly worked in the Voting Section of DOJ’s Civil Rights Division, argue DOJ has no legal authority to access sensitive personal data about individual voters
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The GOP's House majority shrunk following the death of Representative Doug LaMalfa, a California Republican.
Candidates in a pair of statewide races are off the March 17 primary ballot due to successful objections to their nominating petitions, Illinois State Board of Elections officials ruled Wednesday.
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New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.