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NOV 3, 2027Primary Election
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source: Kalshi
Louisiana lawmakers moved a new congressional redistricting plan forward today, keeping the district’s GOP primary situation politically unsettled. That adds fresh news context to Steve Scalise’s already heavily repriced nominee market and keeps traders focused on whether the race becomes more or less certain as the map fight continues.
This is a fresh low for Steve Scalise in the Louisiana-01 Republican nominee race, breaking below the prior 96% extreme.
Scalise’s Republican nominee odds in Louisiana’s 1st District have fallen to 53% after trading as high as 96% recently, while Louisiana’s congressional map fight and suspended House election remain in the news. The move matters because this contract has become much less of a near-lock and is now repricing a contested nomination path.
S. ScaliseSteve ScaliseSource: FEC
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