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General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Track how candidate odds have moved across common market windows.
Total volume
$10.6K
24h volume
$0
source: Kalshi
Incumbent Secretary of State Diego Morales is actively campaigning for reelection and promoting GOP turnout and organizing. Democrats are lining up a challenger in Beau Bayh, who is seeking his party’s nomination. Separately, a federal court challenge to Indiana’s college-ID voting ban could affect election rules ahead of the May primary. The news mostly reinforces that Republicans have an active incumbent campaign, which could modestly support GOP odds. The college-ID lawsuit outcome could add uncertainty around turnout dynamics, depending on the court ruling.
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