Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tony Thurmond

Tony Thurmond

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Overview

Current roleOther

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age57 years old (Aug 21, 1968)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationTemple University (BA)

Notable personal detailsTony Krajewski Thurmond is an American politician and education official who has served as California State Superintendent of Public Instruction since 2019. He previously served on the Richmond City Council, the West Contra Costa Unified School District Board of Education, and in the California State Assembly. He attended Temple University and earned graduate degrees from Bryn Mawr College, and has worked in youth and social services roles.

SourcesShow
cde.ca.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgvig.cdn.sos.ca.govvigarchive.sos.ca.govlatimes.comcta.orgapnews.comppic.orgcft.orgedpolicyinca.orgelections.cdn.sos.ca.goved.govadmin.cdn.sos.ca.govsenyemetal.comtonythurmond.compacificresearch.orgpolitico.comsacobserver.comcalmatters.digitaldemocracy.orgyahoo.comcbsnews.comsfchronicle.comclimateone.orgstocktonia.orgtheievoice.comcalmatters.orgberkeleyside.orgcalfac.orgsacbee.comedsource.orgfox5sandiego.comsdcitytimes.comcapradio.orgabc30.comkqed.orgaol.comlaist.comfacebook.cominstagram.comjustfacts.votesmart.orguscode.house.govballotready.orggovinfo.govncsl.orgfec.govhelp.senate.govsenate.govdesaulnier.house.govhistory.house.govpadilla.senate.govcongress.govoversight.house.govdocs.house.govbioguideretro.congress.gov

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on very wealthy Californians and using that revenue to expand funding for education, affordable housing, healthcare, and direct tax relief/credits for working families; advocates larger public investments in state services and schools.

Healthcare

Supports establishing a state-level single-payer health care system and expanding public health and mental-health services, including strengthening Medi‑Cal funding and increasing access to school-based health and mental health services.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting undocumented immigrants from enforcement actions in state spaces (schools and hospitals), backing expanded access to services including healthcare, and advocates for a pathway to citizenship while calling for abolition of ICE. Has sponsored or supported state measures limiting ICE presence on school campuses.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Tony Thurmond has publicly supported protecting the right to abortion and contraception in California, endorsing a state constitutional amendment to secure those rights. He has been described in local reporting as unequivocally pro-choice and has backed state actions to enshrine abortion protections following the erosion of federal protections.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive expansion of renewable energy and climate action while emphasizing a just transition that protects jobs; accepts continued use or adaptation of fossil-fuel infrastructure until clean energy can reliably meet demand.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports reducing gun violence and keeping schools safe through non-weapon interventions such as school-based mental and physical health services and prevention programs; has opposed policies to arm teachers and emphasized training and professional development over gun training in schools.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Tony Thurmond is part of a crowded 2026 California gubernatorial primary field, with no candidate polling above 14% and a tight fight for the top-two spots. Democrats are worried vote-splitting could allow two Republicans to advance under the top-two primary system. In response, the California Democratic Party is funding a major polling effort starting March 24 that could pressure lower-polling candidates to reconsider staying in the race.

cde.ca.gov+54
Articles
SCSanta Clarita Valley Signal5 months ago

Dan Walters | Gubernatorial Field Set; Now What?

Neutral
LALos Angeles Times5 months ago

California governor candidates pitch Democrats at convention

Neutral
SASanta Ana Orange County Register5 months ago

With no clear frontrunner in the race for governor, the California Democratic Party has a new, costly strategy ahead of the primary election

Neutral
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat5 months ago

With no clear frontrunner in the race for governor, California Democrats have a new, costly strategy ahead of the primary election

Neutral

Polls

California Governor primary advancers? (Person)
Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
27.1%
16.0%
12.5%
12.3%
12.1%
11.1%
9.6%
5.8%
5.7%
5.1%
Tony Thurmond
T. Thurmond
Kamala Harris
K. Harris
Steve Hilton
S. Hilton
Chad Bianco
C. Bianco
Tom Steyer
T. Steyer
Katie Porter
K. Porter
Eric Swalwell
E. Swalwell
Xavier Becerra
X. Becerra
Eleni Kounalakis
E. Kounalakis
Rob Bonta
R. Bonta
Matt Mahan
M. Mahan
Rick Caruso
R. Caruso
Antonio Villaraigosa
A. Villaraigosa
Betty Yee
B. Yee
Date (Start - End)SpreadThurmondHarrisHiltonBiancoSteyerPorterSwalwellBecerraKounalakisBontaMahanCarusoVillaraigosaYee
Polling Average
Harris+25.5
1.6%27.1%16.0%12.5%12.3%12.1%11.1%9.6%5.8%5.7%5.1%4.5%4.1%2.6%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - 31
Steyer+18.0
2.0%–20.0%11.0%20.0%7.0%–17.0%––6.0%–4.0%–
Emerson CollegeMay 27 - 28
Becerra+27.8
0.6%–22.5%11.8%22.6%5.2%–28.4%––4.9%–2.7%–
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMay 19 - 24
Becerra+24.0
1.0%–21.0%11.0%19.0%7.0%–25.0%––4.0%–1.0%–
Global Strategy GroupMay 18 - 21
Hilton+21.0
1.0%–22.0%12.0%19.0%8.0%–19.0%––8.0%–2.0%–
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMay 14 - 18
Becerra+22.0
1.0%–20.0%13.0%15.0%12.0%–23.0%––7.0%–5.0%–
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+21.0
1.0%–22.0%10.0%15.0%7.0%0.0%21.0%––4.0%–1.0%0.0%
EvitarusMay 14 - 16
Hilton+21.0
1.0%–22.0%11.0%15.0%6.0%–22.0%––4.0%–1.0%–
David Binder ResearchMay 5 - 11
Hilton+22.0
1.0%–23.0%13.0%15.0%12.0%–22.0%––7.0%–2.0%–
Emerson CollegeMay 9 - 10
Becerra+19.0
1.3%–17.7%12.0%18.9%13.1%–20.3%––9.3%–5.1%–
Impact ResearchApr 28 - May 3
Becerra+22.0
1.0%–23.0%11.0%14.0%9.0%–23.0%––10.0%–1.0%–
EvitarusApr 30 - May 2
Hilton+17.0
1.0%–18.0%14.0%12.0%8.0%1.0%18.0%––7.0%–2.0%1.0%
SurveyUSAApr 28 - May 1
Hilton+18.0
2.0%–20.0%12.0%18.0%8.0%–10.0%––7.0%–5.0%–
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 23 - 27
Becerra+23.0
1.0%–23.0%13.0%15.0%10.0%0.0%24.0%––6.0%–2.0%0.0%
YouGovApr 23 - 27
Hilton+15.0
1.0%–16.0%10.0%15.0%9.0%–13.0%––4.0%–4.0%–
EMC ResearchApr 21 - 26
Becerra+19.0
2.0%–20.0%15.0%17.0%8.0%–21.0%––8.0%–3.0%–
Independent Voter ProjectApr 14 - 20
Becerra+22.2
0.9%–19.7%16.7%13.9%11.4%–23.0%––4.3%–1.0%1.1%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 14 - 18
Hilton+18.0
2.0%–20.0%14.0%15.0%13.0%0.0%15.0%––6.0%–3.0%2.0%
EvitarusApr 15 - 17
Hilton+15.0
1.0%–16.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%1.0%13.0%––5.0%–2.0%1.0%
Emerson CollegeApr 14 - 15
Hilton+15.6
1.0%–16.6%14.4%14.1%10.3%–10.4%––5.4%–2.5%1.4%
SurveyUSAApr 8 - 10
Steyer+20.0
1.0%–18.0%8.0%21.0%8.0%9.0%4.0%––4.0%–5.0%4.0%
David Binder ResearchApr 1 - 6
Hilton+20.0
2.0%–22.0%13.0%12.0%11.0%18.0%4.0%––5.0%–2.0%2.0%
Gudelunas StrategiesApr 1 - 6
Hilton+20.0
2.0%–22.0%13.0%12.0%11.0%18.0%4.0%––5.0%–2.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 31 - Apr 5
Bianco+14.0
0.0%–14.0%14.0%11.0%7.0%12.0%4.0%––4.0%–4.0%1.0%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMar 26 - Apr 3
Swalwell+16.0
2.0%–17.0%14.0%14.0%10.0%18.0%5.0%––5.0%–5.0%3.0%
Echelon InsightsMar 12 - 17
Hilton+19.0
1.0%–20.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%15.0%3.0%––4.0%–3.0%2.0%
EvitarusMar 12 - 17
Hilton+15.0
1.0%–16.0%14.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%3.0%––3.0%–3.0%2.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesMar 9 - 15
Hilton+16.0
1.0%–17.0%16.0%10.0%13.0%13.0%5.0%––4.0%–4.0%1.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 7 - 9
Swalwell+16.3
1.0%–13.3%11.4%10.9%8.4%17.3%3.0%––3.2%–3.2%2.3%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDotFeb 25 - Mar 3
Hilton+18.0
1.0%–19.0%11.0%13.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%––3.0%–4.0%2.0%
Independent Voter ProjectFeb 13 - 20
Bianco+22.0
1.3%–14.9%23.3%8.0%12.4%17.9%3.4%––2.1%–2.8%1.9%
Emerson CollegeFeb 13 - 14
Hilton+15.0
2.1%–17.1%13.5%8.8%9.8%14.1%3.5%––3.4%–2.8%1.8%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaFeb 3 - 11
Hilton+12.0
2.0%–14.0%12.0%10.0%13.0%11.0%5.0%––3.0%–5.0%5.0%
EMC ResearchJan 29 - Feb 4
Bianco+20.0
1.0%–17.0%21.0%9.0%12.0%18.0%6.0%––5.0%–3.0%2.0%
J. Wallin Opinion ResearchJan 29 - Feb 1
Hilton+11.0
3.0%–14.0%11.0%12.0%8.0%9.0%6.0%––4.0%–7.0%4.0%
Tulchin ResearchJan 22 - 28
Hilton+14.0
1.0%–15.0%15.0%10.0%13.0%14.0%5.0%––––7.0%2.0%
Public Policy PollingJan 20 - 21
Bianco+17.0
1.0%–17.0%18.0%8.0%14.0%11.0%6.0%––5.0%–2.0%–
David Binder ResearchJan 17 - 20
Bianco+15.0
2.0%–14.0%17.0%8.0%11.0%11.0%5.0%––––3.0%1.0%
FM3 ResearchNov 30 - Dec 7
Hilton+17.0
1.0%–18.0%17.0%6.0%13.0%17.0%3.0%––––3.0%1.0%
Emerson CollegeDec 1 - 2
Bianco+11.4
1.9%–11.5%13.3%4.3%11.0%11.5%3.5%––––5.0%1.9%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaNov 13 - 19
Porter+19.0
2.0%–14.0%10.0%–21.0%–14.0%––––8.0%7.0%
Tavern ResearchOct 27 - 30
Bianco+14.0
2.0%–12.0%16.0%–15.0%–9.0%––––5.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%–8.0%13.0%1.0%11.0%–8.0%–––3.0%5.0%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 20 - 27
Bianco+12.0
1.0%–8.0%13.0%1.0%9.0%–5.0%–––3.0%3.0%2.0%
EMC ResearchOct 22 - 26
Hilton+17.0
3.0%–20.0%14.0%3.0%16.0%11.0%9.0%––––5.0%3.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Bianco+13.0
1.0%–13.0%14.0%7.0%12.0%–8.0%––––7.0%4.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Hilton+13.0
1.0%–14.0%14.0%–14.0%–5.0%––––6.0%3.0%
Bold DecisionOct 16 - 21
Hilton+14.0
2.0%–16.0%13.0%–14.0%–9.0%––––11.0%5.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 20 - 21
Hilton+13.0
2.7%–15.7%10.7%–14.7%–5.0%––––5.2%1.6%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+14.4
1.1%–9.8%7.5%–15.5%–3.4%–––4.1%3.9%1.5%
Emerson CollegeSep 15 - 16
Porter+14.5
1.3%–9.9%7.9%–15.8%–4.8%–––3.7%3.8%3.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesAug 11 - 17
Porter+16.0
1.0%–6.0%10.0%–17.0%–9.0%–––4.0%4.0%2.0%
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Possibility Lab/TrueDotJul 31 - Aug 12
Porter+19.0
2.0%–10.0%15.0%–21.0%–9.0%7.0%––6.0%9.0%6.0%
Emerson CollegeAug 4 - 5
Porter+16.6
1.0%–11.8%7.1%–17.6%–2.7%2.5%––4.1%4.6%1.9%
Emerson CollegeApr 12 - 14
Harris+30.5
0.7%31.2%–4.2%–7.7%–1.8%2.0%–––1.9%1.1%
Emerson CollegeApr 12 - 14
Porter+10.8
1.6%––4.3%–12.4%–3.0%2.8%–––4.9%2.6%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 3 - 7
Harris+22.0
1.0%23.0%–––16.0%–4.0%2.0%7.0%–8.0%2.0%2.0%
Capitol WeeklyFeb 3 - 7
Porter+24.0
2.0%––––26.0%–5.0%5.0%9.0%–8.0%3.0%3.0%
Breakthrough CampaignsNov 22 - 26
Porter+18.0
3.0%––6.0%–21.0%–2.0%8.0%6.0%–5.0%3.0%3.0%
Breakthrough CampaignsNov 22 - 26
Porter+22.0
2.0%––14.0%–24.0%–6.0%9.0%–––3.0%6.0%
University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental StudiesOct 22 - 29
Porter+9.0
1.0%–3.0%8.0%–10.0%–3.0%3.0%3.0%–2.0%4.0%2.0%
David Binder ResearchOct 10 - 15
Kounalakis+11.0
7.0%–––––––18.0%–––9.0%4.0%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaSep 12 - 25
Porter+12.7
1.3%–4.0%4.7%–14.0%–2.9%2.1%3.5%–2.6%2.6%2.6%
University of Southern California/California State University Long Beach Center for Urban Politics and Policy/Cal Poly PomonaSep 12 - 25
Villaraigosa+5.0
2.6%–––––––4.5%–––7.6%4.5%
Tulchin ResearchAug 8 - 12
Villaraigosa+9.0
4.0%–10.0%–––––10.0%–––13.0%7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising