Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Tony Gonzales

Tony Gonzales

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Tony Gonzales describes himself as a fiscal conservative who supports lower taxes, less regulation, and policies intended to let families and small businesses keep more of their income. He has opposed tax increases for Texans and promoted extending/protecting tax cuts while supporting targeted federal spending for district priorities.

Healthcare

Supports protecting and funding Medicaid and other critical healthcare programs, increasing access to affordable, quality care in rural areas, and securing federal funding for veterans, mental health, and community health centers.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strict border enforcement and tougher asylum restrictions, including reinstating the Remain in Mexico policy, expediting removals, increasing deportation resources, and designating transnational criminal/cartel networks as terrorist organizations. Advocates expanded funding and infrastructure for border security and opposes catch-and-release policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports pro-life policies, opposes federal funding for abortions, and has backed legislation to restrict abortion including the Life at Conception Act and heartbeat-based bans. Has described protecting the unborn as a priority and has co-sponsored bills to codify restrictions and bar taxpayer-funded abortions.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" energy approach prioritizing oil, natural gas, and domestic energy production; opposes what he calls a "rush-to-green" agenda and regulatory actions that limit fossil-fuel use; also backs some renewable development and targeted energy research/investments.

Public Safety & Guns

Tony Gonzales has both supported specific gun-safety measures (including votes tied to expanded background checks and funding to encourage red-flag laws after the Uvalde shooting) while also defending Second Amendment rights and opposing broad weapons bans. He has sponsored and announced funding for school-safety measures and has criticized actions he views as infringing on gun rights. Overall his record contains both votes in favor of targeted gun-safety legislation and statements defending gun ownership rights.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Rep. Tony Gonzales has dropped his reelection bid for Texas’s 23rd Congressional District amid an ethics investigation and a scandal involving an affair with a former staffer who later died by suicide. His exit cleared the way for gun-rights influencer Brandon Herrera to become the likely GOP nominee and advance to the general election against Democrat Katy Padilla Stout. After Gonzales withdrew, Donald Trump endorsed Herrera for the seat.

gonzales.house.gov+20

Polls

TX-23 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.4%
35.2%
Tony Gonzales
T. Gonzales
Brandon Herrera
B. Herrera
Date (Start - End)SpreadGonzalesHerrera
Polling Average
Gonzales+5.2
40.4%35.2%
Trafalgar GroupOct 31 - Nov 1
Gonzales+5.2
40.4%35.2%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$5.9M
$4.5M
$3.0M
$1.5M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.3M
$354.4K
$4.0M
$166.0K

Cycle 2024

$5.9M
$1.5M
$4.8M
$201.9K

Cycle 2026

$2.3M
$327.4K
$3.4M
$226.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements