Prediction Edge
Republican
Tom Weiler

Tom Weiler

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Overview

Current roleU.S. Navy officer (retired; submarine officer)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMinnesota

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BackgroundU.S. Navy officer (retired; submarine officer)

EducationUniversity of Notre Dame (B.S., Civil Engineering, 2000)

Notable personal detailsTom Weiler is a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Minnesota in the 2026 election cycle. He is a retired U.S. Navy submarine officer and an engineer, and previously ran for U.S. House in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District in 2022. He is originally from Eden Prairie and has lived in Plymouth, Minnesota.

SourcesShow
fec.govtomweiler2026.com49mngop.commn.electionarchives.lib.umn.eduelectionresults.sos.mn.govaxios.compredictionedge.comen.wikipedia.orgmprnews.orgaction4liberty.comaclu-mn.orgcd3mngop.commn.govdocquery.fec.govapnews.comuspollingdata.comsenate.mnsos.mn.govopencampaign.comstartribune.comminnpost.comcbsnews.comalphanews.orgwashingtonpost.comsenatedfl.mnivoterguide.commnhd66brepublicans.orgsaintpaulrepublicans.useplocalnews.orgdl1.en-us.nina.azlegislation.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orgcba.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgclerk.house.govballotready.orgsenate.govhouse.govdurbin.senate.govemmer.house.govcongress.govcapito.senate.govdocs.house.govgovinfo.gov

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Advocates fiscal restraint focused on forcing Congress to budget and reduce spending rather than increasing taxes; emphasizes eliminating waste and fraud and promoting budget accountability. Positions emphasize limiting federal spending and recovering misspent taxpayer funds.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as pro-life and supports protecting the “sanctity of life” while allowing abortions in cases of rape, incest, or when the mother’s health/life is at risk. He favors policies aimed at minimizing abortions by supporting mothers and families and indicates abortion law decisions should be left to states in some past statements.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate supports enabling domestic energy production and reducing regulations to lower costs and ease inflation, and does not present detailed climate policy or emissions targets on his campaign site. Public statements emphasize energy production and regulatory relief rather than aggressive emissions reductions or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate identifies as a strong supporter of the Second Amendment and responsible gun ownership, emphasizes keeping guns out of criminals’ hands, and proposes armed security professionals at every school as part of a Protect Our Kids bill.

Polls

Minnesota Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
46.4%
9.9%
Tom Weiler
T. Weiler
Michele Tafoya
M. Tafoya
Royce White
R. White
Adam Schwarze
A. Schwarze
David Hann
D. Hann
Date (Start - End)SpreadWeilerTafoyaWhiteSchwarzeHann
Polling Average
Tafoya+45.1
1.3%46.4%9.9%4.0%3.0%
Quantus InsightsMay 6 - 9
Tafoya+50.2
1.6%51.8%8.9%4.1%–
Peak InsightsJan 31 - Feb 1
Tafoya+40.0
1.0%41.0%11.0%4.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$105.4K
$79.0K
$52.7K
$26.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$105.4K
$50.7K
$56.4K
$3.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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