Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Tom McClintock

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age69 years old (Jul 10, 1956)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of California, Los Angeles (B.A., 1978)

Notable personal detailsThomas Miller McClintock II is an American politician who has served as the U.S. representative for California's 5th Congressional District since January 3, 2009. He previously served in the California State Assembly (1982–1992; 1996–2000) and the California State Senate (2000–2008). He earned a B.A. from the University of California, Los Angeles in 1978 and has worked as a journalist and public policy analyst.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Tom McClintock consistently advocates for lower taxes, reduced government spending, and pro-growth tax reform, supporting corporate tax cuts and votes to reduce individual tax burdens. He emphasizes fiscal restraint, balanced budgets, and opposition to tax increases. His voting record and public statements reflect a priority on minimizing taxation and government size.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and has supported repealing it; favors market-based reforms and limiting federal involvement in health insurance. Has voted with House Republican efforts to repeal or roll back ACA provisions and criticized expanding federal health insurance programs.

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Immigration & Border

Tom McClintock emphasizes enforcement-first border policy, advocating stricter border control, tighter asylum rules, and measures to reduce illegal immigration rather than expanded legalization pathways. He has led hearings focused on restoring immigration enforcement and sponsored legislation to close perceived asylum loopholes and strengthen interior enforcement and verification.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate opposes abortion and has a long record of opposing public funding for abortion and abortion-rights measures; he supported efforts to overturn Roe v. Wade and voted against federal protections for abortion access. His positions align with seeking substantial restrictions on abortion rather than codifying broad access.

Climate & Energy

Tom McClintock has expressed skepticism about human-caused climate change, criticized aggressive environmental regulations, and defended continued reliance on fossil fuels while opposing policies that he says phase out fossil-fuel production. He frames wildfire and energy issues as failures of environmental regulation and has supported measures favoring domestic energy production.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes most new gun-control measures and emphasizes gun ownership rights, arguing that gun laws tend to disarm law-abiding citizens. He identifies as a gun owner and has received donations from pro-gun groups.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.7M
$1.3M
$837.0K
$418.5K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.7M
$137.5K
$1.7M
$71.1K

Cycle 2024

$1.2M
$148.2K
$1.2M
$48.3K

Cycle 2026

$819.9K
$170.5K
$797.6K
$46.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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