Prediction Edge
Republican
Tom Emmer

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age65 years old (Mar 3, 1961)

GenderMale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Alaska Fairbanks — B.A. (History and Political Science), 1984

Notable personal detailsThomas Earl Emmer Jr. is an American attorney and Republican politician who has represented Minnesota's 6th Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives since 2015. He previously served in the Minnesota House of Representatives and held local elected office in Independence and Delano, Minnesota. In the U.S. House, he has been part of Republican leadership, including serving as House Majority Whip.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax cuts and lowering taxes for individuals and businesses, including protecting and making permanent provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and reducing corporate tax burdens. Favors reducing regulatory burdens and smaller government spending as part of pro-growth economic policy.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and has supported Republican efforts to repeal or significantly roll back the law; has voted for the 2017 American Health Care Act and signed pledges to repeal Obamacare. Has sponsored legislation on specific issues such as expanding access to inpatient mental-health services, but his broader healthcare stance favors reducing the ACA’s role and market-oriented reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Tom Emmer emphasizes stronger border enforcement and tighter controls, supporting measures to ‘‘seal’’ the southern border, increase Border Patrol and ICE capacity, expand detention space, and strengthen deportation of criminal noncitizens. He has promoted Republican border-security legislation (e.g., H.R.2/related GOP bills) as tools to address asylum and migration flows.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Tom Emmer identifies as pro‑life and has supported and promoted legislation restricting federal support for abortion and other pro‑life measures. He has accepted endorsements from major anti‑abortion organizations and his congressional activity includes sponsoring or backing bills and floor actions aligned with limiting abortion access and federal funding. His voting and advocacy record shows consistent alignment with conservative, pro‑life positions.

Climate & Energy

Supports American energy independence and development of fossil fuel resources alongside support for domestic renewables and nuclear; has applauded withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and backed measures limiting U.S. participation in Paris-related funding. Emphasizes market- and resource-inclusive approaches and regulatory/permitting reforms rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style proposals.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and policies favoring gun owners and the firearm industry while opposing the Biden administration’s gun control agenda and most new federal gun restrictions; has also said state laws should have prevented certain shooters from obtaining firearms in at least one recent case.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.3M
$6.2M
$4.2M
$2.1M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.4M
$645.6K
$4.2M
$176.5K

Cycle 2024

$8.2M
$1.7M
$7.1M
$296.5K

Cycle 2026

$8.3M
$4.6M
$5.4M
$360.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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