Prediction Edge
Democrat
Tom Begich

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age65 years old (Oct 31, 1960)

GenderMale

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LocationAlaska

BackgroundPolitician

EducationBard College — B.A. in History (1982)

Notable personal detailsThomas Scott Begich is an American politician, musician, and consultant who served as a Democratic member of the Alaska Senate (District J) from 2017 to 2023, including as Senate Minority Leader from 2019 to 2023. He is Alaska-born and is part of the Begich political family. He earned a B.A. in History from Bard College and has done graduate work at the University of Alaska Anchorage and at Oxford. In 2025, he announced a run for governor in Alaska’s 2026 election cycle.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using Permanent Fund earnings with a long-term draw (around 4%) and allocating a portion of those earnings to both dividends and public education; emphasizes common-sense fiscal planning and protecting education funding rather than large one-time payouts that could deplete the fund. Opposed ad-hoc energy relief payments when they would reduce funds for forward-funding education.

Healthcare

Tom Begich says Alaska cannot absorb major federal Medicaid funding losses and emphasizes making health care more affordable through measures such as negotiating with insurers and exploring self‑insurance rather than expanding state coverage. His public materials highlight pragmatic, state-level cost-containment and access measures rather than support for large federal expansions or single‑payer reforms.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Tom Begich answered the 2020 Political Courage Test identifying as "pro-choice" while also indicating he would not legalize abortion when the pregnancy resulted from incest or rape, showing a qualified or internally inconsistent stance. Legislative hearing record excerpts show Begich engaging on limits and medical duties in abortion-related legislation. Available public records show no single unambiguous position on unrestricted abortion access or on codifying Roe-era protections.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding renewable and alternative energy, investments in community-scale and cold-climate technologies, and adaptation measures for Alaska’s warming Arctic while also endorsing continued use of Alaska’s oil and gas resources as part of a reliable, affordable energy mix.

Public Safety & Guns

Tom Begich has sponsored and cosponsored legislation to create or expand gun-violence protective orders (extreme-risk/red-flag style measures) in the Alaska Legislature, indicating support for targeted firearm restrictions to improve public safety while serving as a state senator.

Polls

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
29.3%
21.0%
20.1%
15.8%
13.9%
Tom Begich
T. Begich
Nancy Dahlstrom
N. Dahlstrom
Bernadette Wilson
B. Wilson
Dave Bronson
D. Bronson
Click Bishop
C. Bishop
Adam Crum
A. Crum
Treg Taylor
T. Taylor
Edna DeVries
E. DeVries
Date (Start - End)SpreadBegichDahlstromWilsonBronsonBishopCrumTaylorDeVries
Polling Average
Begich+8.3
29.3%21.0%20.1%15.8%13.9%4.8%3.3%2.5%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+19.2
41.0%21.8%18.6%18.7%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+13.0
43.9%30.9%25.2%
Alaska Survey ResearchApr 16 - 19
Begich+7.8
53.9%46.1%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 5 - 11
Begich+22.0
38.0%16.0%13.0%8.0%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+21.3
41.4%19.3%19.2%20.1%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+13.6
43.7%30.1%26.2%
Alaska Survey ResearchOct 10 - 14
Begich+1.2
50.6%49.4%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+5.0
8.0%13.0%13.0%8.0%5.0%3.0%3.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+5.0
6.0%10.0%11.0%6.0%4.0%3.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Wilson+6.0
8.0%14.0%14.0%8.0%5.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+7.0
8.0%15.0%14.0%9.0%5.0%
Data for ProgressJul 21 - 27
Dahlstrom+8.0
9.0%17.0%15.0%10.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

General campaign

Endorsers of Tom Begich for General campaign

Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates – Alaska

Elected official

Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates – Alaska endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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Löki Tobin

Elected official

Löki Tobin endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates – Alaska

Elected official

Planned Parenthood Alliance Advocates – Alaska endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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IBEW Local 1547

Elected official

IBEW Local 1547 endorsed Tom Begich for Alaska governor as part of a dual endorsement.

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Doug Tansy

Elected official

Doug Tansy and other IBEW members endorsed Tom Begich for Alaska governor.

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IBEW 1547

Elected official

IBEW 1547 endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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Elvi Gray-Jackson

Elected official

IBUP Alaska endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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IBUP Alaska

Elected official

IBUP Alaska endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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Kodiak Seiners Association

Elected official

Kodiak Seiners Association endorsed Tom Begich for governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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