Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Overview

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies that protect jobs and oppose austerity measures, and emphasizes economic recovery and support for working families. Positions indicate favoring government action to preserve employment and fund public programs rather than cutting services to balance budgets.

Healthcare

Supports expanding affordable access to health care and strengthening programs that reduce out-of-pocket costs; has sponsored legislation to lower Medicare cost-sharing for remote patient monitoring and opposed bills that would cut ACA subsidies or Medicaid benefits. Emphasizes protecting Medicaid, Medicare access, and addressing nursing shortages and affordability for constituents.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for vulnerable migrants (notably Temporary Protected Status for Haitians), seeks pauses on deportations and reduced detention for certain groups, and frames immigration policy with humanitarian and community-economic considerations. Advocates for asylum and TPS extensions while working with colleagues to pursue reform and accountability in enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad abortion access and opposes bans that restrict pre-viability care; has voted for federal protections for abortion rights and advocates that reproductive health decisions be made between patients and medical professionals rather than politicians.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal action to protect climate-related agencies and investments, opposes cuts to climate and clean-energy funding, and has a pro-environment voting record. Votes and public statements indicate support for strengthening climate resilience and clean energy investments rather than defending expanded fossil-fuel production or deregulation.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports measures to curb illegal firearms trafficking and has called for action to stop the flow of U.S.-origin guns to the Caribbean and Haiti. Has criticized Florida’s permitless/constitutional-carry law and urged legislative solutions to reduce gun violence and protect communities. Advocates coordination among federal agencies to address illicit arms flows and strengthen public safety.

Polls

The Political Matrix/The Listener Group
50%40%30%20%10%0%
45%
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
S. Cherfilus-McCormick
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupJun 1, 2026
45.0%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupFeb 28, 2026
31.0%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupFeb 4, 2026
38.0%
The Political Matrix/The Listener GroupFeb 4, 2026
35.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.8M
$5.1M
$3.4M
$1.7M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$6.8M
$2.8K
$6.8M
$284.0K

Cycle 2024

$639.2K
$7.5K
$634.4K
$26.4K

Cycle 2026

$356.4K
$11.1K
$352.8K
$23.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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