Prediction Edge
Independent
Seth Bodnar

Overview

Current roleU.S. Senate candidate (Independent, Montana)

PartyIndependent

Age47 years old (Feb 2, 1979)

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundU.S. Senate candidate (Independent, Montana)

EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point (BS)

Notable personal detailsSeth Andrew Bodnar is an independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in Montana in the 2026 election cycle. He served as president of the University of Montana from 2018 until his resignation in January 2026 and previously worked in business, including as an executive at General Electric. Bodnar is a U.S. Military Academy (West Point) graduate and Rhodes Scholar who completed graduate study at the University of Oxford, and he has served in the U.S. Army, including as a Green Beret, with deployments including Iraq.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Climate & Energy

The candidate has supported university efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, invest in campus sustainability and expand environmental science and sustainability programs, and has described campus energy projects that lower fossil fuel use while allowing future fuel conversions. Positions indicate support for moderate climate action and clean-energy investments rather than an explicit pledge to phase out fossil fuels.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Seth Bodnar is in the news for entering Montana’s U.S. Senate race as an independent candidate. His move comes as the race is being reshaped by Sen. Steve Daines announcing he will not seek reelection, opening the field to new candidates.

fec.gov+52

Polls

Montana Senate winner?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
31.9%
Seth Bodnar
S. Bodnar
Date (Start - End)SpreadBodnar
Polling Average
31.9%
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18
26.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18
50.0%
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
35.0%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
15.9%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
41.6%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
40.0%
yes. every kid.Jan 23 - 26
15.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.1M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$528.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.1M
$963.9K
$1.1M
$67.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements