Prediction Edge
Independent
Seth Bodnar

Overview

Current roleU.S. Army officer (Special Forces/Green Beret)

PartyIndependent

Age47 years old (Feb 2, 1979)

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundU.S. Army officer (Special Forces/Green Beret)

EducationUnited States Military Academy (West Point) — B.S., Economics

Notable personal detailsSeth Andrew Bodnar is an American academic administrator, U.S. Army veteran, and business executive. He served as the 19th president of the University of Montana from 2018 until stepping down in January 2026. He is a West Point graduate and Rhodes Scholar who completed graduate study at the University of Oxford. In 2026, he launched an independent campaign for the U.S. Senate in Montana.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Climate & Energy

The candidate has supported university efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, invest in campus sustainability and expand environmental science and sustainability programs, and has described campus energy projects that lower fossil fuel use while allowing future fuel conversions. Positions indicate support for moderate climate action and clean-energy investments rather than an explicit pledge to phase out fossil fuels.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedMar 14, 2026

Seth Bodnar is in the news for entering Montana’s U.S. Senate race as an independent candidate. His move comes as the race is being reshaped by Sen. Steve Daines announcing he will not seek reelection, opening the field to new candidates.

en.wikipedia.org+56

Polls

Montana Senate winner?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
32.0%
Seth Bodnar
S. Bodnar
Date (Start - End)SpreadBodnar
Polling Average
32.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 23 - 27
49.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 23 - 27
25.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 23 - 27
27.0%
Tavern ResearchJul 23 - 27
45.0%
GrayhouseJun 23 - 24
17.0%
Hart Research AssociatesJun 18 - 24
25.0%
Hart Research AssociatesJun 18 - 24
45.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19
25.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19
24.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 16 - 19
50.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 8 - 11
20.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18
26.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 13 - 18
50.0%
Change ResearchMar 17 - 20
35.0%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
15.9%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
41.6%
American Pulse Research & PollingFeb 14 - 18
40.0%
yes. every kid.Jan 23 - 26
15.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$3.2M
$2.4M
$1.6M
$809.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$3.2M
$977.8K
$2.3M
$125.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements