Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Salud Carbajal

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age61 years old (Nov 18, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationUniversity of California, Santa Barbara — B.A. (1990)

Notable personal detailsSalud Ortiz Carbajal is a U.S. Representative for California's 24th congressional district, first elected in 2016 and serving in Congress since 2017. He previously served on the Santa Barbara County Board of Supervisors (2004–2016) and worked in county public health and local government roles. He earned a B.A. from the University of California, Santa Barbara and an M.A. in Organizational Management from Fielding Graduate University. He served in the United States Marine Corps Reserve (1984–1992).

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports measures that limit corporate tax cuts and is open to raising taxes on certain brackets to balance the budget while prioritizing investments that help working families and lower costs of living. Emphasizes targeted federal spending to support affordability, infrastructure, and social programs rather than broad tax cuts for corporations.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and protecting public health programs such as Medicare and Medicaid and expanding access to care, including legislation to reduce barriers to health coverage for immigrants. Has backed COVID-related measures to protect coverage and has cosponsored bills to expand eligibility for government-provided health care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports bipartisan immigration reform that expands legal pathways, protects DREAMers and military families, and pairs humanitarian asylum protections with strengthened border security and processing measures. Advocates regional processing centers and other policy changes to improve asylum processing while calling for negotiated, commonsense solutions rather than maximal enforcement-only approaches.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion access and reproductive justice, including defending the right to choose, opposing restrictions that limit access, and sponsoring/ cosponsoring federal measures to protect and expand access (including repeal of the Hyde Amendment and protections for interstate abortion services).

Climate & Energy

Supports active federal and local action on climate change, including coastal and community preparedness, clean energy expansion, and policies to reduce emissions. Has sponsored legislation addressing coastal climate preparedness and emissions fees and is a member of congressional climate-focused groups. Advocates for protecting coasts, promoting renewables, and addressing health impacts of climate change.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks, federal incentives and funding for state “red flag”/extreme risk protection laws, and measures to crack down on straw purchases, ghost guns, and gun trafficking; also supports reinstating national restrictions on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. Advocates community violence prevention and targeted gun-safety legislation while preserving due process in risk-removal measures.

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$3.3M
$2.5M
$1.7M
$826.5K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$2.2M
$2.1M
$1.5M
$61.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.0M
$2.6M
$1.5M
$62.4K

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$3.3M
$810.0K
$47.6K

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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