Prediction Edge
Republican
Ryan Dotson

Ryan Dotson

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

Age53 years old (Nov 22, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundPastor

EducationPhelps High School

Notable personal detailsDavid Ryan Dotson is an American pastor and politician who has served as a Republican member of the Kentucky House of Representatives since January 2021, representing the 73rd House district. He filed with the FEC to run for U.S. House in Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle, with an authorized committee named “Ryan Dotson for US Congress.” He previously served in the U.S. Army as an X-ray technician and later worked at the University of Kentucky’s Albert B. Chandler Hospital before relocating to Winchester, Kentucky.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting government spending, opposing tax increases, and implementing budget reforms aligned with President Trump’s proposals; emphasizes running government like a business and protecting taxpayers. Advocates stopping tax hikes and cutting waste to grow the economy.

Healthcare

Supports tightening Medicaid eligibility and adding work requirements, and favors legislation to reshape Medicaid enrollment and eligibility. Emphasizes policies aimed at making Medicaid more sustainable and has been recognized by hospital groups for advancing hospital-friendly policies.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate advocates a strong enforcement-first approach to immigration and border policy, prioritizing expanded deportations, closing perceived loopholes, and fully funding border security infrastructure and operations. He supports giving federal agencies broader authority to remove people unlawfully present and backs construction of border infrastructure to control entry. His campaign messaging emphasizes strict removal of undocumented immigrants and alignment with a hardline deportation agenda.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate describes himself as a defender of the unborn, has earned a 100% rating from the Family Foundation of Kentucky, and has taken public, pro-life positions opposing abortion access.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has supported measures to preserve coal-fired power plants and emphasized coal as a reliable baseload energy source while expressing openness to renewables but stressing reliability concerns. Statements and legislative participation indicate preference for policies that protect fossil-fuel generation and grid reliability over rapid retirements of coal units.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has expressed skepticism about “weapons of war” on the street and raised concerns about young people accessing semi‑automatic rifles, while also sponsoring state legislation (HB 749) that would expand official transfer/possession mechanisms for certain automatic or machine firearms. These positions show mixed signals on gun policy, supporting some restrictions in rhetoric but also sponsoring pro‑access legislation.

Polls

KY-06 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
13%
30.3%
Ryan Dotson
R. Dotson
Ralph Alvarado
R. Alvarado
Greg Plucinski
G. Plucinski
Steve Shannon
S. Shannon
Adam Perez Arquette
A. Arquette
Date (Start - End)SpreadDotsonAlvaradoPlucinskiShannonArquette
Polling Average
Alvarado+17.3
13.0%30.3%4.7%2.0%0.7%
1892 PollingMay 4 - 7
Alvarado+23.0
15.0%38.0%8.0%3.0%1.0%
1892 PollingApr 6 - 8
Alvarado+21.0
11.0%32.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%
1892 PollingFeb 10 - 12
Alvarado+8.0
13.0%21.0%0.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$552.5K
$414.4K
$276.3K
$138.1K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$552.5K
$208.2K
$344.3K
$21.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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